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Tag Archive for 'levels of the atmosphere'

Low pressure slowly exits, but another cloudy, damp day expected

7:30 AM
Another day and more rain.  That’s the best way to describe this dreary Monday morning.  Once again, the upper low that has plagued the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area since Thursday continues to drive Atlantic moisture into the northern Mid Atlantic.
A 996 MB surface low roughly 200 miles southeast of Long Island [...]

Foggy start this morning with increasing flooding potential this weekend

8:00 AM
The temperatures may be warmer, but the active storm track that the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area experienced in February is returning once again.
The easterly fetch developing at the mid and lower levels of the atmosphere is already influencing the northern Mid Atlantic as Atlantic moisture moves into the coastal plain.  The [...]

Convective snowfall to play a key role on Wednesday

9:37 AM
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The forecasted soundings for Wednesday morning are rather interesting and will likely have a key impact on snowfall totals throughout the region.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 23°F;Humidity: 57%;Heat Index: 23°F;Wind Chill: 10°F;Pressure: 29.99 in.;

How New York City and Long Island missed out on yesterday’s storm

1:14 PM
Before yesterday’s storm, there was a great amount of uncertainty on the exact amount of snowfall that would fall over the New York City metropolitan area and Long Island.  As the storm approached, there was indications that heavy snowfall was going to be able to push into New York City and at least the [...]

Active Sub Tropical Jet to play important role next several weeks

8:05 AM
High pressure centered over the Ohio Valley is supporting yet another cold morning with temperatures in the teens and lower 20’s.  Although cold, the air mass is already starting to moderate from the Arctic extremes experienced this past weekend, especially over the northern tier.
The water vapor this morning illustrates that developing Sub Tropical jet [...]

Negative EPO to lead the way back to cold and snow

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7:50 AM
The majority of next week will feature relatively mild conditions compared to the past several weeks, however the mild stretch will not last long as a repeat of what happened in late November is starting to unfold.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 28°F;Humidity: 74%;Heat Index: 28°F;Wind Chill: 21°F;Pressure: 30.15 in.;

Snow flurries today. More for the weekend?

7:07 AM
This morning, a cold front is moving through the northern Mid Atlantic with scattered flurries throughout the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area.  The cold front associated with these flurries is not very well defined and the majority of the cold air advection and isolated precipitation is being driven by an upper level [...]

Models trend towards light snow for Friday

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10:08 PM
The disturbance that is currently dropping light to moderate snow over the central Plains and Mid West will eventually drive towards the Mid Atlantic coast tomorrow night and Friday morning.
The model guidance from the 12Z and 18Z model suites have trended towards a developing low pressure system off the New Jersey coast and [...]

Be thankful, this storm is staying east

7:57 AM
We should be thankful for many things today, and one of those things is that the upper level disturbance over the Mississippi Valley is not as strong as advertised the past few days.
As we can see with the Water Vapor Satellite picture, plenty of moisture associated with a Sub Tropical Disturbance off the Southeast [...]

December Thoughts- the cold is on the way

9:45 AM
Over the past several weeks I have been strongly hinting at a cold start to December.  The various indicators I’ve been looking at to make these statements include the Stratospheric anomalies of late, the development of the MJO state, and the growth of snow cover over much of Alaska and northwestern Canada.
As the models [...]



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