Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
A disturbance ahead of the cold front is currently driving through the forecast area, which is produce a narrow yet powerful line of strong to severe thunderstorms. There is growing wind shear ahead and along this line of thunderstorms which will support the potential for an isolated tornado.
The main threat from this line of thunderstorms [...]
As you can see with the title, there is a lot of topics to cover over as we look at the next three days.
Dense fog will slowly burn off through the morning, but visibility will likely remain below a mile in many locations through at least mid morning. The fog is certainly an indication of [...]
Get ready for some rapidly changing weather conditions through Saturday night as a series of disturbances and a very strong cold front moves through the forecast area.
Today through tonight, a disturbance from the southern branch will race ahead of the main trough in a very moist atmospheric environment. The GFS and the NAM are having [...]
This period will see a rather extreme swing in weather conditions over the next 66 hours.
The upper low and coastal low that brought have rainfall to the forecast area overnight is beginning to weaken and lift to the north and east. With significantly moist air trapped below 850 MB, a cloudy day can be expected. [...]
The water vapor images this morning tell a compelling story about how this week will play out in terms of this coastal low. Turns out the GFS may have been on to something this weekend with bringing the coastal low into the forecast area faster than all the other guidance.
Notice the strong disturbance over [...]
While I deal with yet another disappointing Mets season, I am going to dive back into the weather.
Currently, the upper low that has caused so much trouble for the East coast the past several days is rotating through the forecast area. A strong thunderstorm is currently moving through Middlesex and Mercer Counties and move towards [...]
If thunderstorms were not bad enough over Monmouth County, another impressive thunderstorm has formed just to the south and east of Allentown, Pennsylvania and will continue to move to the southeast towards western New Jersey.
This thunderstorm has the realistate to develop into one very nasty thunderstorm over the next 30 minutes and may reach severe [...]
All I can say is wow!
I haven’t seen the type of lightning I’m seeing from this thunderstorm moving through Monmouth County since I was in Oklahoma. This thunderstorm is very dangerous in terms of cloud to ground lightning, there have been several strikes observed before and while I’m typing this post.
The trees meanwhile [...]
As most in New York City already know, strong to severe thunderstorms are developing across the Philadelphia and New York City metro. These thunderstorms are developing in direct result to a strong 500 MB trough moving through the forecast area producing strong lifting of the moisture rich and warm lower levels of the atmosphere into [...]
As the fog lifts through the morning hours, the additional sun shine, through broken in many locations, will help to destabilize the atmosphere for this afternoon. The influence of the upper level low can already be seen to the west as showers and thunderstorms have developed over north-central Pennsylvania and west-central New York.
Expect the showers [...]
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