Measurement | NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Severe weather potentially explosive tomorrow afternoon

June 8th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:38 PM
A preview of the a potentially very active afternoon was seen this afternoon over much of southern Monmouth and Ocean counties of New Jersey this afternoon. A weak disturbance, a remnant from the MCS that impacted much of the Mid West early this morning, sparked off a cluster of showers and thunderstorms. These thunderstorms [...]

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Official Snowfall Totals From The National Weather Service For March 1st Through March 2nd, 2009

March 3rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:41 AM
The following snow and wind observations are from the National Weather Service. There were many areas that received heavy snow via the mesoscale banding that developed within this storm, however there were also some areas that received less than expected because of the influence of mesoscale banding. Overall, verification came in rather well on [...]

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Morning Update: Storm Moves Slightly Faster

March 2nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:53 AM
The precipitation with this storm is moving slightly faster than thought last night by about 3 hours. The dry slot is moving through the forecast area now rather than at 8 AM, however the intensity of the snow did not disappoint. Snowfall totals throughout the forecast around range from 1.8″ to 12″, but a [...]

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Snow And Ice Totals And Thoughts On The Storm

January 29th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:40 AM
For most of the forecast area, the forecasted ice and snow totals verified via reports from the National Weather Service. The one area that busted was in northeastern Pennsylvania where 6 to 10 inches of snow was expected. Instead, most locations in extreme northeastern Pennsylvania only received around 4 inches. When I looked back [...]

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Evening Thoughts: Dance Of The Models

January 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:46 PM
The models did this. The models did that. We have a had a lake cutter, a major snow storm, a rain storm, and even no storm at all. So clearly, we should hug the models from run to run.
The basic overall pattern idea has not changed one bit. The 12Z guidance theme was [...]

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Thoughts On This Weekend Through Next Week

January 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:38 PM
The forecast for this coming weekend into next week is rather tricky to nail down. I don’t trust the details that the medium range model guidance is showing, especially in terms of precipitation amounts. I’ve been studying the February 15-18,2003 storm. Now, that does NOT mean I am thinking of similar precipitation totals (at [...]

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Active Start To The Week

January 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:47 AM
Welcome to another start of the week! Well for some of us, MLK Day means that many will be off today while others get prepared for Inaugreation Day tomorrow, however the weather never takes a day off, so off I go!
The active pattern for the forecast area will continue today. A few scattered snow [...]

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The 12Z Guidance And Thoughts For Friday

December 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

8:59 PM
If you put your ear to the ground, you could hear the fall of a million snow lovers faint to the ground after seeing the 12Z GFS, which basically if taken verbatum would produce a significant snowfall for most of the forecast area, save southern New Jersey (even that location would still get measureable [...]

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Initial Warm Period To Give Way To Cold And Stormy Pattern

December 24th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

6:53 AM
Instead of the several days of warm conditions, the developing negative NAO and pattern amplification will give the forecast area two warm days and some perfect timing for the weekend! Well, almost perfect as I expect rain, but at least there won’t be any serious travel problems.
A cold front will slowly move towards [...]

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Official Snow And Ice Accumulations From The National Weather Service

December 17th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

10:00 AM
The following are official snow and ice accumulations from the National Weather Service for the storm from last night through this morning:
LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
[...]

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