ss_blog_claim=b223ac461596a919716b9bb9bf1ded3f
BECOME AN NY NJ PA WEATHER PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP AFFILIATE!
Powered by MaxBlogPress 

Tag Archive for 'meteorology'

Evening Thoughts- storm threat increases for Friday

10:15 PM
Tonight I’ve been going over the various models from the 12Z and 18 Z guidance.  First I want to touch on the storm potential for Thursday night into Friday.
The 18Z models are a good indicator of where models are trending or adjusting to.  Both the 18Z GFS and NAM produced a stronger and more [...]

Things to do today

9:44 AM
Personal post here for those interested.
I just want to take some time to send out my thoughts for those suffering from the tragedy that occurred on September 11, 2001.  I was in college at the time, thinking about graduating and what the future held when the cowardly attack unfolded right in the city that [...]

Afternoon Thoughts

5:21 PM
Well, the storm is right on the door steps as snow has started to fall over southern New Jersey.  
At this point, the upper level structure of this storm is rather impressive.  The upper level low remains strong and separate of the northern branch, which has been key to this point.  The conveyor belts [...]

Defined Thoughts And Increasing Confidence

10:52 AM
I’m going to cover all the thoughts for the next seven (7) days in this one post.  The reason is because the short and medium range periods are really interconnected so there’s no point in splitting them up.  So get that coffee cup and prepare to read a lot.  I’m going to add more [...]

Thoughts About What Could Have Been

9:06 PM
Before I issue a snow map for this Thursday and discuss the increasing potential for signifcant winter storm on Sunday night into Monday morning, I just want to touch upon the potential that has been missed just off the coast.
At this hour, a strengthening area of low pressure is deepening a bit too far [...]

Wrapping Up Thoughts

9:19 PM
Well, to say this storm was a disappointment as far as precipitation would be an understatement. 
What Went Right:  Despite model guidance saying otherwise, precipitation never went over to rain for the majority of the forecast area save southern New Jersey.  The idea that I went with that the 850 MB low would track in [...]

Answering Some Questions

12:56 PM
Sorry about the break, had to take care of some family stuff.
So, I got all your emails and IMs about where is the snow.  Well, first let me say that at this point, the forecast is still on track however I am going to make a few tweaks here in this post.  The moderate [...]

Developing Clipper Will Bring A Coating Of Snow To Forecast Area

When forecasting the weather, the most import tool a meteorologist has is current observations.  In today’s day and age, that also includes great radar and satellite data.  What I see this morning is a clipper driving through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley with more moisture and stronger upper level dynamics than forecasted on most [...]

Stormy Sunday, But Not Snowy

Yesterday there was a lot of excitement when the medium range model guidance, especially the ECMWF produced a rather snowy solution for the coastal storm on Sunday.  Even with the exciting model output, I had my significant doubts on this system playing out due to some of the points I made, one of which was [...]



Powered by WishList Member - Membership Software