Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
10:27 AM
The influences from the winter storm of the past two days simply will not quit. A strong upper low that caused the initial surface low to stall over New York City and then drift through Long Island continues to sit right over the central Hudson Valley. Strong mid level disturbances are rotating around this [...]
5:15 AM
An area of low pressure over the southern Plains will usher in the beginning phase of a much cooler regime for the northern Mid Atlantic. However, what was once potentially a very wet period for the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas is now shaping up to be much drier.
The reason for the [...]
6:30 AM
For those that have received the Monthly News Letter (contact me if you haven’t), know how I feel October will unfold, and the model guidance this morning is pointing directly in the direction I thought it would.
The upper low over New England that has produced generally tranquil weather conditions this week is now lifting [...]
5:15 AM
A developing coastal low and associated upper low is going to have a very strong influence on the Northern Mid Atlantic through Saturday with periods of heavy rain, strong winds along the coast, and coastal flooding.
It is clear this morning that a strong upper low is taking form over the Tennessee Valley and this [...]
5:15 AM
This morning, model guidance has come into strong agreement on exactly what to expect from Tropical Storm Danny and the interaction with the deep trough over the Southeast. As discussed last night, the best way to view Danny’s impact on the forecast area is to consider Danny as a Nor’ Easter rather than a [...]
5:15 AM
A strong and impressive ridge at 500 MB continues to be the dominating influence over the forecast area. The upper level and surface ridge is located to the south and east of the Mid Atlantic, which is producing a persistent southwesterly flow over the forecast area. This southwesterly flow is bring warm, humid air [...]
5:35 AM
Tropical Depression Two is on the verge of making a come back while a strong disturbance to the west is also rapidly developing.
It’s interesting to see how the Tropical Atlantic can quickly pick up in action, after months of inactivity the central Atlantic now has tow potential tropical depressions rapidly organizing.
Before discussing the two [...]
5:15 AM
The hottest stretch of the summer is over after just roughly 48 hours. A new upper level regime is setting up that will produce a drastic change from the hot and humid to the wet and raw.
First, let’s look at the water vapor satellite image. A trough is clearly carving itself out over the [...]
5:15 AM
After a very storm end to the week, the weekend could not start much better. With the cold front well to the south and east of the forecast area this morning, weak high pressure supported by convergence aloft will produce clear skies and seasonably warm temperatures. Little will change with the air mass over [...]
8:13 PM
A disturbance along the stationary front is approaching the forecast area this evening with an area of showers and thunderstorms. Given the heavy rain that has fallen, flood warning have been issued for parts of southeastern Pennsylvania this evening.
These showers will continue to progress eastward through the overnight hours and will be aided [...]
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