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Tag Archive for 'mid morning'

Evening Thoughts- lets get ready to rumble

9:35 PM
I have a feeling that I am going to be a very busy meteorologist through the New Year.  The active, cold pattern is well on the way of forming and organizing and the agreement on the GFS and ECMWF in the medium and long range guidance of the overall pattern structure is nearly uncanny. [...]

Mid Morning Update

9:27 AM
This morning the heaviest rain has set up over much of central and eastern Long Island as the best low level forcing has set up over the New Jersey coastal waters through Long Island and over southeastern Connecticut.
The atmosphere is still capable of supporting heavy downpours over much of eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and [...]

Boat and beach report for Thursday, August 27 2009

5:25 AM
The cold front that moved through the coastal waters early this morning will continue to sink south and east with a few lingering showers in the early morning followed by clearing conditions through the mid morning hours.  High pressure over the Great Lakes will build into the coastal waters through the evening hours with [...]

The three H’s return; Hazy, Hot, and Humid

5:15 AM
For those that have been wondering where summer went, you’ll get your answer today as blistering hot temperatures finally return to the forecast area.  However, before the heat is on, much of northeastern New Jersey and the New York City metro will have to contend with some morning showers and thunderstorms.
The thunderstorms this morning [...]

Late Evening Thoughts

10:24 PM
Even the RUC model guidance has a pretty poor handling on the thunderstorms that have developed over much of southern New York and entering into the forecast area this evening.  So when the model guidance fails you, it is time to use real time observations and some of the common sense I learned in [...]

Boat and beach report for Monday, August 3 2009

5:20 AM
A few lingering showers will give way to scattered cloud cover by the mid morning and continuing on through the evening hours.  Clear skies to a few scattered clouds can be expected on Tuesday morning through the evening hours.  Clouds will increase on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.  A cold front will produce scattered [...]

The broken record continues

5:15 AM
The upper level trough over the eastern half of Canada continues to act like a pendulum swinging back and forth through the Great Lakes and Northeast.  After another strong cold front yesterday afternoon, the pendulum is swinging back to the west, which will give a break to the forecast area from stormy conditions.
Through early [...]

Boat and beach report for Saturday, July 18, 2009

6:52 AM
A few isolated lingering showers are possible over the coastal waters through the mid morning hours, otherwise clearing skies can be expected.  High pressure will produce clear skies this evening through Sunday.  As the high pressure slides east on Sunday night, a few clouds can be expected, but dry conditions will prevail.  Few to [...]

Boat and beach report for Friday, July 17 2009

7:50 AM
Partly cloudy skies can be expected through the morning.  Scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms will develop this afternoon with the strongest thunderstorms capable of wind gusts over 55 mph, large hail, frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and an isolated tornado or water spout.  The thunderstorms will rapidly reduce visibility and will have the [...]

Active Pattern Returns With A Chance Of Snow

5:55 AM
The lack of a 50/50 low in this pattern shows why having such a feature is so important for a winter storm in the Mid Atlantic.  That issue has been repeated often here, so I’ll just move along to the forecast.  By Wednesday night, the low pressure system will be entering the eastern Great [...]



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