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Tag Archive for 'misses'

A break in the wet weather today, but more rain on the way

7:15 AM
As low pressure exits the forecast area this morning, a brief break in the clouds and rainfall can be expected through the day.  In case anyone forgot, that big bright ball in the sky is called the sun, and no we are not in Seatlle.  Weak high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes will [...]

High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end.  So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way.  However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area. 
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

Another day, another stationary frontal boundary

8:52 AM
This summer is not shaping up to be one that works out well for beach lovers.  This morning, yet another cold front is slowly losing steam over the forecast area as scattered showers continue to move through the region.  
The majority of the rainfall is now off the coast as the best dynamics race towards the [...]

Immediate central and southern New Jersey coast will miss severe weather

6:27 PM
The warm front has not pushed through the immediate coast of central and southern New Jersey, and when I say immediate, I mean roughly from the shore back to about 5 miles west.  Low level clouds and a cooler northeasterly wind has kept temperatures much cooler (mid to upper 50’s) than the rest of [...]

Thoughts For The Afternoon And The Right Technique To Shoveling Snow

12:15 PM
I’ve just spent the past hour and a half shoveling the 10 to 12 inches of snow sitting on my drive way.  Let me tell you, shoveling this snow is no joke.  For those of you with the unlucky task of having to shovel this stuff, remember bend at the knees not the back! 
Anyway, [...]

Everything Coming Into Place

7:24 AM
It is very rare to see all the pieces of a major snow storm come together when the usual 500 MB key indicators are missing to such a great extent.  Well, remember this storm because the observational data strongly is pointing in that direction!  
The low pressure system that is bringing light snow and [...]

Major Changes And The Reasons Behind Them

8:47 AM
An extremely rare and extremely difficult forecast is evolving for the forecast area this morning.  In previous posts, I stated my doubts of a heavy snowfall as a perfect track with perfect timing was going to be needed to produce a significant snowfall along the coast.  The model guidance and more importantly, the atmosphere [...]

Is The Negative NAO Going To Pull A Cruel Joke?

There’s been a lot of discussion around the internet and, of course, hear about the potential for the up coming pattern, which we are in a period of transitioning to as I type.  
Initially, the 50/50 low that develops becomes a dominant feature in the pattern over the Eastern United States.  Clearly, the strong upper [...]



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