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Light rain and snow tonight leads to minor accumulations

March 2nd, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

6:36 PM
I have been hinting for some time that the precipitation shield for tonight’s storm was going to be more expansive than what was being forecasted. However, I am not very impressed with the accumulation potential for this storm. The first and foremost is the warm boundary layer temperatures.
Besides the fact that the surface freezing [...]

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Extended thoughts for November

November 11th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:56 AM
A major change in the pattern is about to take hold if stratospheric considerations are added into the equation.
Over the past several weeks, the Pacific been in a constant shift back and forth between an upper low over the Gulf of Alaska and an upper low over the Aleutian Islands. As a result, much [...]

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Tricky Forecast, To Snow Or Not To Snow

December 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:55 AM
Going into this period, I was hoping that model guidance would improve in sheilding some light on the events that will play out on Friday. To some extent, the guidance has given me a better idea of what to expect here. The general consencious is that the clipper to drive towards the Great Lakes [...]

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My Winter Forecast For 2008/09

October 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

It is once again that time of year where snow lovers across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic have one question and one desire. Will my back yard see plenty of white or brown mud?
Before I go into detail about my winter forecast, I want to explain how I developed and produced the theory for [...]

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Working On Winter Forecast

October 18th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

I’ll be working on the winter forecast through this afternoon and evening hours. At this point I have about 15 pages written about this winter. Don’t worry, I’m going to condense it after I’m done.
I know the big tool to use in long range forecasting is looking at an index, say the PDO, and [...]

Tags: confusion, correlations, enso, evening hours, evenings, excerpts, forecast, long range forecast, mistake, pdo, previous years, sun spot, weather, weather boards, Winter. General Discussions Closed