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Tag Archive for 'moisture in the atmosphere'

After morning showers, temperatures fall

7:20 AM
This morning, a strong disturbance is moving through central Pennsylvania producing rain and snow showers throughout the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas.  As this disturbance is moving east, the surface trough is strengthening into a closed low that will produce a period of moderate snow over the central and northern Hudson Valley [...]

Active and cold pattern sets in as storm exits

9:15 AM
This morning the strong winter storm that has blast much of the central Plains and brought heavy rain to much of the northern Mid Atlantic yesterday is now pushing into eastern Canada.
Through today, a series of secondary cold fronts will move through the Mid Atlantic and Northeast, producing enhanced cold air advection.  Today’s highs [...]

Rain today, but winter conditions return with a vengeance next week

10:30 AM
This morning, it is clear where a major storm resides as a large and impressive upper low dominates much of the Mid West and Great Lakes.  A weak coastal low has formed to the south of Cape May, New Jersey; however it is clear the primary circulation at the surface and upper levels is [...]

A perfect 48 hours of weather

8:53 AM
A week disturbance is moving through New England and the Hudson Valley this morning, however this disturbance will have little impact on the northern Mid Atlantic.  With little in the way of moisture in the atmosphere, no showers are expected with this disturbance, but a wind shift from the southwest to northwest will result [...]

Isolated thunderstorms remains a threat

7:05 AM
The forecast area once again is under the influence of a warm and humid air mass as the strong jet stream at various levels of the atmosphere remains from the southwest originating out of the Gulf of Mexico.  As the region experienced yesterday afternoon and evening, thunderstorms can develop rapidly in this air mass [...]

Tricky pattern continues to unfold

7:09 AM
Yesterday’s rain event gave many locations east of the Delaware River rainfall amounts of a quarter of an inch over western parts of New Jersey to close to 2 inches over the New York City metro and points east.  The low pressure developed much like a coastal low in the fall or early winter, [...]

Reality, Models; Models, Reality

11:30 PM
I feel like I’m at a dating show over here as the models have started to come to face a little something called reality.  The reality is that so far this low is tracking west of the forecasted position.  Currently pressures are dropping quickly off the South Carolina and North Carolina coast.  I’m not [...]

Careful Thoughts

1:15 PM
The past few hours sure have been interesting in model guidance and when looking at the observations.
Precipitation is breaking out over the Delmarva, Maryland, and beginning to develop all over Virginia.  Pressure falls are still developing over the Southeast, but the primary low is still in the Great Lakes.  As a result, warm air [...]

Arctic Blast Means Business

7:48 AM
Obviously the news of the Arctic Blast that will impact the forecast area on Thursday through Sunday has been talked about in several areas.
The main threat I want to convey about this air mass is not to take this situation likely.  I have a strong feeling that the MOS guidance is still too warm [...]

Clipper Brings Light Snow And Brutally Cold Conditions

7:34 AM
The main story for this period is going to be the brutally cold temperatures that will impact the forecast area.  There is no doubt on that. 
However, first I want to discuss the Alberta Clipper that will move through the forecast area on Thursday.  Over the past few weeks, we’ve seen model guidance remain too [...]



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