Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
12:00 PM
The water vapor satellite picture shows the next upper level low that will bring snow to much of the northern Mid Atlantic. However, this time, the focus of the heaviest snowfall will be focused more towards the northwestern interior rather than the coastal plain.
Today through tomorrow afternoon, high pressure will move through the region. [...]
11:50 AM
The northern Mid Atlantic is getting a bit of a breather from the active winter weather of the past week. After two major winter storms approaching blizzard conditions, impacted the region over the past seven days, high pressure is providing generally tranquil conditions.
As we can see from the water vapor satellite picture, another storm [...]
4:45 AM
Last night, Fred officially became a category 1 hurricane with sustained winds at 75 mph. Hurricane Fred has continued to move to the west-northwest at around 12 mph through the overnight period.
I think it is time to admit that model guidance has had some “issues” with handling the development and track of Hurricane Fred. [...]
4:45 AM
Overnight, Hurricane Bill continued to move to the northwest around 18 to 20 mph with winds sustained at 125 mph. Hurricane Bill will still have the potential to intensify back to category 4 strength over the next 24 to 48 hours as upper level conditions remain favorable with weak shear and sea surface temperatures [...]
5:55 AM
The lack of a 50/50 low in this pattern shows why having such a feature is so important for a winter storm in the Mid Atlantic. That issue has been repeated often here, so I’ll just move along to the forecast. By Wednesday night, the low pressure system will be entering the eastern Great [...]
8:33 AM
The middle of the week will start with an area of low pressure driving from the central Plains towards the central and eastern Great Lakes. Warm and overall dry conditions can be expected on Wednesday with a few warm air advection showers in the afternoon. By Wednesday night and Thursday morning, the cold front [...]
10:09 AM
Almost all the model guidance is beginning to come into agreement in the overall pattern idea, but there are still difference on exactly how the disturbances develop within the pattern.
Currently I don’t have much of a change in the forecast. My approach as far as model guidance is to take a combination of the [...]
7:30 AM
The new year is certainly starting off with a bang this year, unfortunately that does not mean snow for all.
The main theme through this period will be the changing Pacific and Atlantic patterns. The negative NAO block will begin to weaken, however already the ECMWF is backing away from the complete collapse idea and [...]
I’m sure that those who have been monitoring the models like a hawk have a bit of a headache as each run seems to show a different solution from model to model and run to run. Of course, the most exciting has been the GFS, which did have a nice snow storm depicted for next [...]
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