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Tag Archive for 'new england coast'

As heavy snow threat grows, similarities in past storms become clear

9:42 AM
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Model guidance over the past 48 hours has moved towards growing strong support for a significant accumulating snow event with various time ranges of Friday afternoon through Sunday morning.  With the exception of the 00Z GFS and GFS Ensemble guidance, the overall set up for a major winter storm is as follows:
– Weather [...]

Flurries expected today, more organized snow on Friday

7:40 AM
A weak disturbance is moving through the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas this morning with a few scattered snow flurries.  No accumulation is expected, however the snow showers will likely put a nice touch to the cold conditions in place right now.  Let’s be honest, what’s the point of it being cold [...]

Arctic cold here to stay, snow is certainly on the way

11:30 AM
If you want to see what a developing strong negative NAO pattern looks like, take a look at this morning’s water vapor satellite image.  The upper low associated with the coastal storm off the New England coast is clearly dominating the weather pattern for the much of the Northeast and Mid Atlantic.  The upper [...]

The cold is on the way! Brutally cold conditions lasting through the week

7:15 AM
 
If you like cold air and a chance of snow each day, you are going to love the next several days if not this whole month!
The area of low pressure off the New England coast continues to rapidly deepen this morning.  Note the isobars on the surface map.  When these bars tighten like what [...]

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8:30 AM
This morning the pieces for a potential major winter storm starting on New Years Eve and continuing on through Saturday is starting to finally enter a better area [...]

Active and cold pattern sets in as storm exits

9:15 AM
This morning the strong winter storm that has blast much of the central Plains and brought heavy rain to much of the northern Mid Atlantic yesterday is now pushing into eastern Canada.
Through today, a series of secondary cold fronts will move through the Mid Atlantic and Northeast, producing enhanced cold air advection.  Today’s highs [...]

The step down begins

7:10 AM
This morning, the first step towards a cold and potentially very stormy pattern is unfolding.  A very strong coastal low continues to intensify off the New England coast this morning as a strong upper low intensifies over the Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic.
I’ve been discussing for several weeks now that a major change in [...]

The unknown potential impacts of Tropical Depression Ida

7:20 AM
Tropical Depression Ida is expected to exit the coast of eastern Honduras by this afternoon and slowly move towards the Gulf of Mexico through this weekend.  The NHC expects Ida to strengthen back into a tropical storm this weekend and move towards the eastern Gulf Coast by the middle of next week.
Aside from the [...]

Evening Thoughts- disturbances and latent heat release

9:45 PM
This evening, several locations throughout the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area experienced a brief period of heavy rain, strong wind gusts, and even some lightning and thunder.  The culprit behind this line of convection was the cold front that will eventually cause the coastal low off the New England coast to explode. [...]

Mid Morning Update

8:15 AM
High pressure currently dominates the forecast area with dry conditions and clearing skies, however over the Mississippi Valley this morning we can clearly see the next precipitation threat for the Mid Atlantic.
This precipitation is developing due a strong disturbance moving out of the southern Rockies and into the southern Plains.  Moisture from the Gulf [...]



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