Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
10:50 AM
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This morning I discussed my concern for convective snowfall along the New Jersey coast in the public post. I wanted to give more details on this threat this morning.
This morning I took a look at the latest sounding from OKX, which is on Long Island. Granted, the sounding is still a bit of [...]
7:30 AM
A strong area of low pressure continues to rapidly deepen off eastern Long Island as the low pressure system deepens to a 994 MB low pressure system. The majority of the precipitation with this storm has now exited into New England and the northwestern Atlantic, leading to just a few lingering showers and slow [...]
9:00 AM
A very cold air mass has returned to the northern Mid Atlantic this morning, providing another cold weekend for the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area. The water vapor satellite image this morning shows that the Sub Tropical jet stream is starting to gain strength once again, suggesting more interesting times ahead.
Now, the [...]
9:40 AM
The MJO is on the move and bless the models, they are trying to handle that tricky feature as best as it can. Let’s take a look at where the MJO is today and where I think it is going.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 28°F;Humidity: 58%;Heat Index: 28°F;Wind Chill: 16°F;Pressure: 29.75 in.;
9:22 AM
A very strong low pressure system off the Maine coast this evening is producing a very strong pressure gradient over the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas. Sustained winds range from 10 to 20 mph with gusts over 30 mph in many locations.
Windy conditions will continue through tonight into tomorrow morning. However, as [...]
7:10 AM
This morning, the first step towards a cold and potentially very stormy pattern is unfolding. A very strong coastal low continues to intensify off the New England coast this morning as a strong upper low intensifies over the Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic.
I’ve been discussing for several weeks now that a major change in [...]
8:58 AM
Sorry for the late update. I don’t know why, but Sunday’s always seem to be the day where I sleep the most. I promise that won’t be an issue for winter storms though. Those storms are like caffeine for me.
The water vapor this morning shows us that the strong Polar/Sub Tropical phased jet stream [...]
7:22 AM
There are a lot of interesting features throughout the northern Hemisphere this morning. This morning I’ll touch on the development of now Hurricane Ida and also the coastal low developing over the New Jersey coastal waters.
For the most part, the coastal low is moving quickly east-northeast and with it, much of the moisture. This [...]
5:40 PM
The second coastal storm was a bit of a let down to what was expected as the winds were not nearly as strong as guidance had suggested, and the rainfall was not as impressive either.
Overall, the main reason why this storm did not produce the widespread rainfall that it could have potentially, was that [...]
5:15 AM
The atmosphere is going to be in a rapid state of change through this week as an upper low gives way to a Southeast ridge followed by a deep trough, which will bring a variety of conditions ranging from above normal temperatures and the potential of thunderstorms to temperatures falling well below normal all [...]
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