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Tag Archive for 'north norther'

Stormy day gives way to windy weekend

6:26 AM
Today would not be the day to open two new baseball stadiums in the New York City area as a rainy and stormy day and evening is expected.  Currently, a warm front is progressing northward over the Maryland and Delaware with a steady light rain over much of the forecast area this morning.  The [...]

Weekend will start windy but dry

7:18 AM
The low pressure system that will send a strong cold front through the region on Friday evening will also support very windy conditions on Saturday.  The low pressure system will move into New England as high pressure over the Ohio Valley builds into the East coast.  We’ve seen this before, haven’t we?  Expect Saturday [...]

MCS keeps flooding rain at bay

8:32 AM
A mesoscale convective system or MCS formed over North Carolina last night and will have a significant impact on the forecast today.  
An MCS is basically a large complex of thunderstorms with a mesoscale low pressure system.  These thunderstorms can produce very heavy rain, strong damaging winds, and frequent lightning over a location, but [...]

Rain returns for next four days!

7:13 AM
A break in the dry and cool weather is beginning and a good dose of rainfall will be moving through the forecast area this afternoon and again on Saturday night through Sunday.  
An area of low pressure over the Tennessee Valley continues to organize this morning and will move towards the forecast area by [...]

A Cold Start But Mild Pattern On The Way

5:46 AM
Today is probably going to be the coldest day of the next 7 as high pressure will move right over the forecast area today.  Clear skies can be expected today through tonight as the ridge axis passes over the region.  Winds will remain from the northwest around 5 to 15 mph this afternoon, falling [...]

Inverted Trough Will Bring Light To Moderate Snow To The Forecast Area

7:24 AM
I think the best corse of action through the next 66 hours is to use caution with this forecast.  The reason why the model guidance has moved away from the “big storm” idea is because the southern branch disturbance does not phase with the northern branch disturbance.  Instead, each disturbances moves through separately at [...]

Updated And Final Forecast

7:00 PM
Based on the trends of the actual storm and observations, I am updating the forecast.  There are few changes, but I did decide to lower the snowfall totals for one area just northwest of the major cities.
Purple:  Mostly snow is expected in this area through early tomorrow morning.  Sleet and freezing rain will mix in [...]

Active Start To The Week

6:47 AM
Welcome to another start of the week!  Well for some of us, MLK Day means that many will be off today while others get prepared for Inaugreation Day tomorrow, however the weather never takes a day off, so off I go!
The active pattern for the forecast area will continue today.  A few scattered snow [...]

Coastal Low Starting To Organize

7:47 PM
A coastal low is beginning to develop off the Mid Atlantic coast betwen the New Jersey coastal waters and the North Carolina coastal waters.  Why the range?  Well, I’ve checked several different sources that are very reliable, the E-wall from Penn State, the Plymouth State Website, and RAP-UCAR all with slightly different positions of [...]

Evening Thoughts For Tuesday Night And Wednesday

7:40 PM
At this time, my thoughts for the storm on Tuesday night through Wednesday have not changed.  However, I wanted to go over again how I think everything will evolving from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon.
Tuesday Morning:  On Tuesday morning, clouds will increase throughout the forecast area.  High pressure will be giving way to the [...]



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