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Tag Archive for 'northeastern Pennsylvania'

Wet night ahead, better conditions for the rest of the week

8:15 PM
Strong moisture advection off the Atlantic is supporting light to moderate rain along the coast and light snow over portions of Connecticut, the Hudson Valley, and northeastern Pennsylvania.  The snow will continue to slowly accumulate over these locations as temperatures slowly fall into the upper 20’s to lower 30’s with accumulations of another 1 [...]

Scattered snow squalls moving south

8:16 AM
The strong upper low situated over the Hudson Valley is drawing moisture from the Atlantic and rotating that moisture through eastern Pennsylvania and much of New Jersey.  These snow showers are producing isolated heavy snowfall with accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible for portions of northeastern Pennsylvania and northern/central New Jersey.  These snow [...]

An overview of mesoscale banding and the impacts on snowstorms

11:30 AM
Through this winter one of the major impacts that has significantly impacted snow fall totals is the development of mesoscale snow banding within the precipitation shield.  The impact of such banding has produced staggering snowfall gradients throughout the region and has created significant impacts on many locations this winter.
Mesoscale banding can have several different [...]

Rain today, snow potential grows for end of the week

8:25 AM
A new coastal storm is starting to take shape off the North Carolina coast this morning and has produced periods of moderate to heavy rain along the immediate coast and a mix of snow and sleet over the northwestern interior.  In fact, moderate to heavy snow is growing in coverage and intensity this morning [...]

Worst impacts to the north and east, but northern Mid Atlantic will feel some effects

9:41 PM
The first storm to impact the northern Mid Atlantic this week is going to generally be a miss, however more potential storms are on the way.
Tonight, a new coastal low is forming off the North Carolina coast as a primary low is weakening over Lake Erie.  The continued dominance of the low over the [...]

High pressure dominates, but not for long

9:40 AM
High pressure is in full control over much of the eastern third of the nation this morning and remain in control through tomorrow evening.  As the high pressure moves northeast of the northern Mid Atlantic on Sunday and a developing low pressure over the Mississippi Valley approaches, winds will veer to the southeast and [...]

A variety of winter weather returns for early next week

7:45 AM
High pressure will continue to dominate much of the northern Mid Atlantic today through Sunday with scattered clouds and temperatures returning to near normal levels.  In fact, many locations along the coast will push into the lower 40’s for highs, which will aid in slowly melting the snow pack over the region.
The next storm [...]

Snowfall returns for interior locations with a mix along the coast

6:30 AM
For the first time this winter, the best snowfall will not be over southern and central New Jersey, but will be focused much further north over the interior!
A strong upper level low moving towards the Tennessee Valley this morning will race towards the New Jersey coast tonight with a rapidly developing surface low pressure [...]

00Z Models Preliminary Thoughts

11:05 PM
The 00Z guidance confirmed my suspicion that the 12Z guidance was not handling the development of the 700 MB upper low correctly.
At this time,this storm is clearly going to have a major  impact on the entire northern Mid Atlantic.  While I likely will have to adjust some features on the snowfall map to the [...]

12Z NAM Thoughts

9:55 AM
The 12Z NAM is out and to the left is the QPF output for the storm based on this run.  Now I know many of you in northeastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey, and even New York City are screaming right now in frustration.  Is the NAM forecasting a miss for these areas?  Well,not exactly.
What [...]



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