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Tag Archive for 'October'

Cold And Stormy Pattern To Return For New Year

7:27 AM
There are growing indications that 2009 will come in with a bang, at least in the terms of weather.  There are signals that are becoming much more stronger for a cold and stormy pattern to develop in the last few days of December and through much of early January.  The first key is that [...]

Cold Conditions On The Way. What About Snow?

If you like cold weather, you are going to love this coming weekend!  If you don’t, well stay indoors.  
The Arctic air mass that we’ve been waiting for since late October will be arriving in the forecast area this weekend with temperatures averaging 10 to 16 degrees below normal for afternoon highs.  Friday and Saturday [...]

December Thoughts

I know we aren’t done with November yet, but I wanted to build on the winter forecast.  Now I know there is a lot of talk going around on the weather boards about the models picking up on a very cold pattern for the eastern two-thirds of the United States going into December.  Even the [...]

Evening Thoughts

There’s a lot of topics I want to cover tonight so lets dive into it!
First and foremost, the heaviest rainfall from this afternoon’s coastal low is now off the coast and I only expect a few light showers and some drizzle for the rest of the overnight period.  There is plenty of deep moisture still [...]

Change Is In The Air

No, I’m not talking about politics.  Please!  I’ve had enough.
The pattern is about to go through a significant and lasting change that I think will begin to lock in for much of the winter.  I am going to go back to what was discussed in my winter forecast and start where I think everything will [...]

Drought Page Updated

The drought data for October over southern New Jersey has been updated along with a discussion on the current events.  
Frankly, I don’t see much improvement in the situation going forward.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 57°F;Humidity: 58%;Heat Index: 57°F;Wind Chill: 57°F;Pressure: 30.25 in.;

A Quiet Period Of Weather Expected

Overall, the last day of October through the first week of November will generally be rather quiet.  
High pressure will slide to the south and east of the forecast area today, however clear skies will continue through the day.  A cold front, the only significant low pressure system over the next several days, will move [...]

A Quiet Start To November

After all the active weather to end October, looks like November will be starting in just the opposite.  A strong ridge will dominate the weather pattern at 500 MB through next week, which will support high pressure over the forecast area through the first week of November.
While a strong surface low and deep trough slowly [...]

A Surprise Snowfall For The Forecast Area

This morning I suggested that the rain will gradually change over to snow over most locations, but accumulations would remain the interior sections of northeastern Pennsylvania, northwestern New Jersey, and the Hudson Valley.
You can imagine my surprise when I observed the rain changing to snow and accumulating in central New Jersey, specifically Freehold.  Now, the [...]

Long Range Thoughts

I want to continue the winter discussion from the overall forecast that I made with actually following up on the forecast.  The main issue we need to keep an eye on is the stratosphere, as any indication of a significant drop of temperatures over North America will basically kill any potential for a negative AO [...]



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