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Pattern change promises a return of real summer conditions

June 22nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:15 Am
Summer-like conditions will return to the forecast area and will do so in a short period of time. That means that humid air and temperatures in the 80’s and possibly 90’s will return to the forecast area. When the hot summer conditions return, I’m willing to bet that the conditions will feel hotter and [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canada, Citi Field, cloudy skies, coast, coastal waters, cold, colors, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, east, eastern Long Island, eastern Pennsylvania, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, hot, hot summer, humid air, humidity, Islip, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northe, Ohio, Pennsylvania, period of time, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, ridge axis, risk, Scranton, short period, showers, slope, Summer, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, weather, weather pattern, wednesday afternoon, weeke, west, wet weather, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind component, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

What has caused the heavy rainfall this month?

June 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:52 AM
June has seen some very impressive rainfall amounts with many locations well over an inch above normal. Even some locations double the amount of normal rainfall. While a continuous onslaught of showers and thunderstorms have impacted much of the Mid Atlantic, and specifically the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas, other locations have [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, Allentown PA, amounts, anomalies, anomaly, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic city nj, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, bridgeport ct, canada, Citi Field, coast, coastal waters, cold, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, continuous onslaught, convection, convective, Disturbance, east, enhancement, Examiner, explaination, explanations, extremes, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, freehold nj, front, greenland, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, hightstown nj, interaction, Islip, islip ny, Jets, jfk, latitude, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, magnitude, map, maps, Mets, Mexico, mid, millville nj, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, moisture, nao, new brunswick nj, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, newark nj, normal, normals, north, northe, Northeast, norwich ct, Ocean, Ohio, orientation, pa 1, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, philadelphia pa, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitation anomalies, precipitation events, precipitations, radar, Rainfall, Rainfall Amounts, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, severe weather, showers, south, southe, specifics, stratosphere, Summer, surfaces, Sussex, sussex nj, synoptic, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, tornado outbreaks, tornadoes, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, weather, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Father’s Day Forecast not as wet as advertised

June 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:00 AM
The visible satellite picture this morning shows us that once again, yet another weekend has been spoiled by wet, soggy conditions. However, I do have some good news for this afternoon. Note that over the Hudson Valley and over eastern Pennsylvania that the clouds have started to break up and some clouds are lifting [...]

Tags: advertisement, air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, canada, Citi Field, cloud cover, clouds, coast, coastal waters, cold, Connecticut, continuation, Delaware, Disturbance, drier, east, East Coast, eastern canada, eastern Pennsylvania, england, evenings, fog, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, intensity, Islip, level clouds, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Mets, mid, mid level, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, northerly wind, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, radar, radar images, Rain, Reading, Ridge, satellite, satellite picture, Scranton, shine, showers, soggy conditions, south, southe, steady rain, Summer, sun, sun shine, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, valleys, variable cloud, visibility, visible satellite, warm, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Heavy rain and severe weather a significant threat

June 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
The forecast for today through tonight is best described as significantly complicated and potentially very active. The main theme is basically the progression of the warm front currently over southwesterly Pennsylvania through eastern Virginia. I want to start with the fact that the surface low pressure system is further north and weaker than forecasted [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, baseball, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, city metro, coast, coastal waters, cold, cold front, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, cool air, Delaware, discussion, Disturbance, downpours, east, eastern virginia, elevation, elevations, evenings, exiting, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, game, games, Great Lakes, guidance, gusts, hail, Hartford, heavy downpour, heavy rain, high, isentropic, Islip, jet stream, Jets, level jet, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, Maine, map, maps, metros, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moist air, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, northern, northern suburbs, Northwest, northwester, Ohio, overcast, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, repositions, Scranton, Shear, showers, south, southe, Southeast, suburbs of philadelphia, Summer, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, tornadoes, Trough, troughs, updates, valleys, Virginia, warm, weather, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

A break in the wet weather today, but more rain on the way

June 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:15 AM
As low pressure exits the forecast area this morning, a brief break in the clouds and rainfall can be expected through the day. In case anyone forgot, that big bright ball in the sky is called the sun, and no we are not in Seatlle. Weak high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes will [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, break in the clouds, Bridgeport, case winds, Citi Field, clear skies, clouds, cloudy skies, coast, coastal waters, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, convection, convective, Delaware, doubts, east, evenings, exiting, forecast, forecast area, forecast tomorrow, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Great Lakes, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, MCS, mesoscale, mesoscale convective system, Mets, mid, misses, Mississippi, Model Guidance, models, mountains, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, Northwest, northwester, Ohio, oranges, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Rainfall, rainy day, Reading, Ridge, saturday evening, scattered showers, Scranton, showers, slides, south, southe, Storm, storms, Summer, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tomorrow morning, tornado, transition, transitioning, transitions, Trough, troughs, upper level winds, valleys, water vapor, weather, weeke, west, westerlies, westerly wind, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Boat and beach report for Friday, June 19 2009

June 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:37 AM
Clear to partly cloudy skies can be expected through the overnight hours as a low pressure system continues to exit the coast and weak high pressure builds in from the eastern Great Lakes. Another area of low pressure developing over the western Ohio Valley will move towards the Mid Atlantic on Saturday. There is [...]

Tags: afternoon highs, afternoon showers, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, beach, Belmar, boat, Bridgeport, Citi Field, clearing skies, cloudy skies, coast, coastal waters, Connecticut, continuation, east, evening winds, evenings, exiting, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Great Lakes, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low pressure system, lows, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, morning lows, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northe, Northeast, Ohio, overnight hours, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Reading, rebound, s wave, saturday afternoon, saturday night, Scranton, showers, Southeast, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, uncertainty, valleys, water temperatures, waves, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Another rainy day for the region

June 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:39 AM
A clash of air masses is unfolding right over the forecast area as the marine air mass that has been over the forecast area the past several days slowly is eroded from the region and off the coast. The latest surface map best describes the current situation. High pressure remains off the New England [...]

Tags: air, air masses, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, boarder, Bridgeport, buffalo ny, central hudson, central maryland, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, coast, coastal waters, confluence, Connecticut, convergence, Delaware, eastern Pennsylvania, england, evening hours, evenings, exiting, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, guidance, hail, Hartford, hazy conditions, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, Islip, isolated thunderstorms, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, map, maps, Maryland, metros, Mets, mid, models, new england coast, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, Northeast, northern, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, philadelphia metro, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Reading, rebound, risk, scattered showers, Scranton, severe thunderstorms, showers, south, southe, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, unstable air mass, upper level trough, valleys, warm, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

June 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end. So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way. However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area.
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, cards, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, cloud cover, clouds, coast, coastal virginia, coastal waters, confidence, Connecticut, continuation, convection, convective, Delaware, destabilization, Disturbance, doubts, downpours, early afternoon, east, eastern connecticut, eastern Pennsylvania, ecmwf, elevation, elevations, Energy, evenings, exact placement, exiting, Florida, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, high clouds, humidity, interaction, invisible wall, isentropic, Islip, Jets, level jet, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maine, Mets, Mexico, mid, mid level, misses, Model Guidance, models, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Reading, Scranton, Shear, showers, slides, south, southe, Southeast, Southwest, southwestern pennsylvania, suggestion, surfaces, Sussex, systems, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, thursday afternoon, tides, tornado, Tropical, tropics, Trough, troughs, valleys, Virginia, warm, weather, weather conditions, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Boat and Beach Report for Wednesday, June 17 2009

June 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:44 AM
High pressure over New England this morning is keep the majority of the high clouds at bay, however clouds will increase initially with high clouds and later towards evening with lows clouds. A warm front currently over the Ohio Valley will move towards the coastal waters on Thursday with widespread showers and thunderstorms. The [...]

Tags: afternoon highs, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, bay, bea, beach, Belmar, boat, Bridgeport, Citi Field, clouds, coastal waters, Connecticut, continuation, downpours, east, east southeast, england, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday morning, front, gusts, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, high clouds, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, Mets, mid, morning lows, New England, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northe, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Reading, rebound, s wave, scattered showers, Scranton, showers, small craft advisory, south, southe, Southeast, Southern New England, Southwest, subsidence, Sussex, swells, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, valleys, visibility, warm, water temperatures, wave heights, waves, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Maritime High Pressure Keeps Clouds Over Region

June 14th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:36 AM
Through this up coming week, the weather conditions will mirror more of late September rather than mid June as high pressure positions itself over Maine and several waves of low pressure passes to the south. Conditions like yesterday’s heavy rain event may develop for any particular afternoon where some clearing develops and mesoscale boundaries [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, Citi Field, clouds, coast, coastal waters, cold, Connecticut, Delaware, drizzle, drought, enhancement, evenings, exiting, flood, flooding, floods, fog, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gradient, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, humidity, instability, Islip, late september, layers of the atmosphere, levels of the atmosphere, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maine, mesoscale, mesoscale boundaries, Mets, mid, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rain, rain event, Rainfall, Reading, reloading, Scranton, short wave, showers, similarity, south, stationary front, subsidence, Summer, sun, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, travelers, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, water vapor, wave trough, waves, weather, weather conditions, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind pattern, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed