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Tag Archive for 'Oklahoma'

Active mid week expected

8:45 PM
The showers and thunderstorms over the Ohio Valley, Mid West, and southern Great Lakes can be considered a calling card for what is to come through the next three days for the forecast area.  I’m sure the first feature that draws your attention is the explosive shades of yellow, orange, and red over the [...]

Rainy weekend unfolding

10:11 AM
One disturbance has already raced through the forecast area early this morning with a steady moderate rainfall throughout much of the region, however there is a lot more rain on the way over the next 24 to 36 hours that will bring much needed relief to the drought stricken Mid Atlantic.  Unforunantly, this will [...]

Warm Weather Coming To An End, But Not Without Some Heavy Rain

6:57 AM
The early spring like weather is going to be coming to an end in the next 48 hours, so I would enjoy the warm temperatures as much as possible today before winter returns.  
The cold front is still well west of the forecast area, which means the region is in the warm sector of [...]

A Slap Back To Winter

6:04 AM
Enjoy the warm weather, because this pattern is coming to an end fast.
By Wednesday night, the strong cold front associated with a low pressure system moving through the central/eastern Great Lakes will produce heavy rain over the forecast area.  The cold front will move quickly through the forecast area and exit the region by [...]

Thoughts On A Potentially Very Snowy Week For The Forecast Area

8:06 PM
I issued an upgrade to the alert levels (Alert Stage Two) because there is increasing support via the model guidance AND (more importantly) the actual evolution of the current pattern to support a likely winter storm for the forecast area.  
The focus here is from Tuesday night through Friday night.  The forecast area will [...]

Cold, Wintery, And Very Difficult Forecast Period

Making this forecast has been and will continue to be very difficult.  I want to touch on some important themes with the pattern as a whole and the state of the model guidance before diving into the actual forecast.
I believe we are about to enter a significant cold, and stormy pattern for much of the [...]

Severe Weather Today

Two areas of focus for severe weather today.  The first is over the Mid Atlantic and southern New England.  The second is over the southern Plains and southeastern Rocky Mountains.  
The culprit behind the severe weather in the Mid Atlantic and southern New England is a developing upper level low and trough that will move [...]

Severe Weather Threat Today

The main threat for severe weather will remain over the southern Plains as a strong upper low and jet maximum produces strong vertical wind shear over the region.  Although the low level clouds may inhibit instability initially over the region, by the afternoon the cap should be broken with a significant threat for large hail, [...]

Severe Weather Today

The most organized area of severe weather will be found over the north-central Plains.  A trough will dig into the region, which will send a series of strong disturbances south through much of the area.  As a result, wind shear will increase as cold temperatures aloft combine to destabilize the atmosphere.  The strongest thunderstorms will [...]

Severe Weather Today

The digging trough over the eastern two-thirds of the nation is producing several areas of potential severe weather across the country.  
Over the eastern Great Lakes, an upper low will move into the Great Lakes with a strong cold front at the surface focusing strong to severe thunderstorms over the eastern Great Lakes.  The disturbances [...]



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