Poughkeepsi | NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Snowy Tuesday Or Just Snow Showers?

January 31st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:12 AM
The medium range forecast obviously is focused on Tuesday as to whether the forecast area gets a heavy snowfall or nothing at all. It’s amazing just how much the model guidance has changed in the past few days where the forecast from ALL guidance went from a driving rainstorm for the forecast area and [...]

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Official Snow Fall Totals For January 19th, 2009

January 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:41 AM
The following are official snowfall totals from the National Weather Service for Monday, January 19th 2009. However, it appears that the Albany office may have combined yesterday’s snowfall amounts with Sunday’s storm as well.
DELAWARE

…NEW CASTLE COUNTY…
BEAR [...]

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Updated Snow Map

January 10th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

Descriptions:
1:16 PM
Light Blue: This area mostly focuses on the central Hudson Valley. At this time, the best dynamics remain to the south of this region as the storm track will be just too far south. The precipitation will be all snow, however accumulations will range from 1 to 3 inches.
Blue: This area basically covers from [...]

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Significant Snow Storm Expected For The Forecast Area

January 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:42 AM
I was really tempted to issue a Stage 3 Alert for locastions from Philadelphia through the New York City metro including central New Jersey and the southern Hudson Valley and Connecticut. However, I think it would be wise to wait for 12Z guidance to confirm the trends and developments I am seeing this morning.
My [...]

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Rain And Ice Setting Up For Tuesday And Wednesday

January 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:12 AM
There has been a lot of discussion of what to expect for the storm on Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning. At first, there was a lot of indications that this may have the chance of being a wide spread snow event, however the overall pattern structure still does not support that outcome, yet.
What we [...]

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Active Pattern Unfolding

January 3rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:00 AM
I want to deal with a few issues before going into the forecast.
First, the strong NAO is not a pattern that supports significant winter storms usually. It is the change from one NAO state to another that tends to support large winter storms. The best case scenario is a weak, negative NAO or a [...]

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Another Blast Of Snow For The Interior

December 20th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

6:35 AM
The set up that will be developing tonight through tomorrow does not support a wide spread snow storm for the forecast area and certainly not for locations along the coast. While almost the entire forecast area will see some snow, the snow will change over to rain along the coast. Why?
As I have [...]

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A Snowy Tricky Forecast For Friday

December 17th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

5:58 PM
The watches are going up and the excitement is growing. Well, for some at least. We have another winter storm on the way for the forecast area on Friday. However, I have a slightly different take on this forecast and I still have a lot of uneasiness about this storm in general, especially over [...]

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Trouble Is Brewing And More Than I Thought

December 15th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

9:51 PM
This evening there is trouble brewing over the forecast area and the northern Mid Atlantic.
As I had mentioned, the cold front is starting to move through the forecast area, and the cold air this evening has been impressively pushing south and east over Pennsylvania. One of the issues with the forecast in the [...]

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Evening Thoughts

December 10th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

So far the overall forecast is going well in the timing and structure of the overall low pressure system over the Gulf Coast. The phase, so close yet so far away, has never meant more than what we are seeing in the water vapor images and the surface features.
At 500 MB, the shortwave associated [...]

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