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Tag Archive for 'precipitation event'

Timing key for snowfall end of this week

9:40 PM
This evening, my focus is not going to be on any particular model, but on the overall pattern that will set up for Thursday through Saturday morning.
The 500 MB pattern is not one that is atypical for a major winter storm for the northern Mid Atlantic.  Unlike normal winter storm 500 MB set up, [...]

Storm exits as another threat develops for end of the week

7:30 AM
A strong area of low pressure continues to rapidly deepen off eastern Long Island as the low pressure system deepens to a 994 MB low pressure system.  The majority of the precipitation with this storm has now exited into New England and the northwestern Atlantic, leading to just a few lingering showers and slow [...]

Cold sets in as storm potential increases along the coast

8:06 AM
The big story this morning is obviously the potential significant snowfall for the coastal locations of the northern Mid Atlantic.  I will be diving into my thoughts on the evolution of this storm, and what to look for in the next 24 hours in guidance in a minute.
First, the conditions of this morning should [...]

Cold front marks start of cool period of weather

6:50 AM
A cold front over central Pennsylvania will continue to progress to the east this morning and move through the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas this afternoon.  For the most part, an available moisture has been focused well to the east with yesterday’s coastal low that is now over the northern portions of [...]

Cold Front, Potential Coastal, And The Developing Deep Freeze

We are heading towards the finish line for November (wow, this month went fast), and all signs continue to point to some interesting potential for the forecast area through the Thanksgiving week.  
First lets deal with the end of the weekend, which will be dry yet very cold on Sunday.  Temperatures will continue to average [...]

Potential Storm For Next Weekend

I know I am jumping ahead a bit for next weekend, but I wanted to start addressing the potential situation that may be developing towards November.  Model guidance over the past few runs has shown an interesting development to the north of the Bahamas around November 6th through November 8th, as an upper low deepens [...]

Potential Storm For Monday Night And Tuesday?

There is a lot of discussion out there about a potential storm on Monday night and Tuesday.  For the forecast area, I do not think this low pressure system, which will develop, will bring significant precipitation.
The problem here with the set up is that the orientation of the trough axis is just slightly too far [...]



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