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Tag Archive for 'precipitations'

What has caused the heavy rainfall this month?

9:52 AM
June has seen some very impressive rainfall amounts with many locations well over an inch above normal.  Even some locations double the amount of normal rainfall.  While a continuous onslaught of showers and thunderstorms have impacted much of the Mid Atlantic, and specifically the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas, other locations have [...]

Heavy rain and severe weather a significant threat

7:30 AM
The forecast for today through tonight is best described as significantly complicated and potentially very active.  The main theme is basically the progression of the warm front currently over southwesterly Pennsylvania through eastern Virginia.  I want to start with the fact that the surface low pressure system is further north and weaker than forecasted [...]

High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end.  So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way.  However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area. 
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

Drier weather returns to the forecast area

7:58 AM
The rainy pattern that much of the forecast area has experienced this June is taking a short break, as high pressure positions itself over Maine this morning.  The position of the high pressure system will still force a marine air mass in place over the region, which is supporting the low clouds this morning. [...]

Threat for showers continues through the week

7:18 AM
Another disturbance is dropping south through the Hudson Valley, Connecticut, and Long Island Sound this morning with a round of heavy rain this morning.  This disturbance will continue to drop south and east and will exit the forecast area over the next 2 to 3 hours, impacting much of Connecticut and Long Island rush hour [...]

Showers remain a threat as humid conditions dominant

10:10 AM
The type of pattern the forecast area is being influenced by is at times difficult to forecast for in terms of timing showers and thunderstorms as there are several factors that mixing the atmosphere.  For one, take a look at the latest visible satellite image.  
The stationary front over the southern Mid Atlantic, is [...]

Thunderstorms over Ohio Valley to influence conditions this afternoon

8:43 AM

A strong Mesoscale Convective System or MCS is currently moving through the Ohio Valley this morning behind a warm front that ismoving through western Pennsylvania.  The MCS is supported by a mid level disturbance that is moving east along the frontal boundary and will approach the forecast area by late this afternoon.  While I [...]

Another cool, raw day for this summer

7:34 AM
The theme for this summer, raw and cool, looks to continue as once again the forecast area is positioned north of a stationary front this morning.  The forecast area is clearly under the influence of a marine air mass as an easterly wind fostered by high pressure over Maine and a stationary front over [...]

Evening thoughts- severe weather overview

8:46 PM
This morning I was preparing for an active afternoon of severe weather for the Delaware River Valley and eastern Pennsylvania with the potential for strong thunderstorms for the rest of the region.  While thunderstorms did organize and push towards severe levels over much of eastern Pennsylvania, the thunderstorms weakened as they moved towards New [...]

Strong thunderstorms on the move, more to come later

7:18 AM
There’s a lot to discuss this morning, so lets dive right into it!
An impressive line of thunderstorms has developed early this morning in response to the strong low level jet stream at 950 and 850 MB this morning.  The warm front continues to lift north and eastward, but is having some difficulty doing so [...]



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