Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
8:22 AM
A significant winter storm is beginning to develop over the Gulf Coast that will bring the entire forecast area heavy snowfall and very strong winds. The most significant impacts will be focused towards the coastal plain once again, where many locations have experienced one of the snowiest winters of all time. This storm will [...]
8:14 AM
Here we go again! Another major winter storm has a target for the northern Mid Atlantic with the potential for another one to two feet of snow for many locations in the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area along with very strong winds and near zero visibility for Wednesday morning.
The water vapor satellite [...]
9:58 PM
As expected, the models are waffling a bit and have trended north and then south. The latest 00Z NAM appears to be trending south as well, but the let’s look at what if anything has changed in the set up leading up to this storm.
First and foremost, the Sub Tropical disturbance is very [...]
7:40 AM
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I really put the majority of my time in trying to figure out how to handle the evolution of the storm for this weekend, so I didn’t spend much time looking at long range drivers like the stratosphere and MJO progression, but rest assured that no changes have occurred to deviate from the [...]
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2:40 PM
The strong Arctic disturbance is on the move this afternoon and is holding together rather well. The latest radar images have light to moderate snow over much of the Ohio Valley this afternoon which is slowly progressing eastward towards western Pennsylvania.
My overall thoughts on this storm from the past few days have not [...]
7:34 AM
This morning it is pretty obvious where the next area of low pressure system that will impact the northern Mid Atlantic currently resides. A strong Arctic disturbance is now racing through the Mid West and western Great Lakes and will reach the Ohio Valley tonight. This disturbance and the associated low pressure system will [...]
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9:11 AM
A light snow event is going to unfold on Friday morning, but the details remain uncertain as much depends on the evolution of mesoscale parameters. So this morning, I’m going to try to clear some of the fog and mist of this time period and discuss the potential that exits and why it [...]
7:26 AM
Much like yesterday, this morning is starting out cold with temperatures through out the New York and Philadelphia metropolitan areas in the teens and twenties. Thankfully, this morning the pressure gradient is much weaker with sustained winds around 5 to 15 mph rather than around 20 mph, so temperatures that are around 25 feel [...]
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4:33 PM
Today, the overall model guidance for 12Z suggest that the potential storm for Friday will either not form at all or will take a track slightly too far east for a significant snowfall. I am going to focus on the 120 HR of all the model guidance. The images will be to the [...]
This is a preview of the premium content I will be offering in the near future. Podcasts and videos will also follow along with live coverage of storm events. More details to come, but in the meantime I hope everyone enjoys this discussion!
The ECMWF of late has trended to a solution that is far less [...]
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