NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Southern New Jersey focus of snowfall

9:07 PM
This morning I discussed my uncertainty in the forecast and where I felt the largest threat for an accumulating snowfall will be most likely.  While my uncertainty for the storm was pretty clear, I did feel confident enough to state that the northern interior was going to miss out on this storm.  My concern [...]

Evening thoughts on Ida and potential rainfall

8:20 PM
I have some concerns about the idea that this storm isn’t coming north or at the very least is not going to have an impact on the northern Mid Atlantic.  As the dance of the models continues and the 18Z GFS shifted towards a wetter solution for the New Jersey coast again, I decided [...]

Evening Update- Dry conditions for Game 4 of World Series

6:00 PM

The rain from this morning has exited the coast and dry conditions are expected for tonight’s big baseball game in Philadelphia.  Light winds from the north can be expected through the game along with temperatures in the lower 50’s falling into the upper 40’s.
High pressure will continue to build into the [...]

Moisture advances as rain develops

7:43 AM
This morning, a cold front is sliding south through the Philadelphia metropolitan area with little in the way of rainfall yet a significant change in conditions as much cooler air builds into the forecast area.
Much of the region is overcast with a strengthening east to northeasterly wind around 5 to 15 mph.  However, no [...]

Showers advancing and thoughts on next week

8:40 AM
Showers have organized this morning at a much faster rate than I thought and model guidance suggested over the eastern Great Lakes and western Pennsylvania this morning.
These showers are producing moderate rainfall at times and like making conditions over my old college, SUNY Oswego, very wet and uncomfortable.
These scattered showers are racing from southwest [...]

Live Coverage of the September 10th, 2009 coastal storm

Coastal Storm for September 11, 2009
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 60°F;Humidity: 82%;Heat Index: 60°F;Wind Chill: 58°F;Pressure: 30.32 in.;

Severe Weather Overview for Wednesday, August 5 2009

5:00 AM
On Wednesday, August 5 2009; a cold front slowly moved through the forecast area from the northwest towards the coast.  For the most part, the showers and thunderstorms were widely scattered and weak.  However a few thunderstorms did reach severe levels for a brief period of time.
The convection with this cold front was rather [...]

What has caused the heavy rainfall this month?

9:52 AM
June has seen some very impressive rainfall amounts with many locations well over an inch above normal.  Even some locations double the amount of normal rainfall.  While a continuous onslaught of showers and thunderstorms have impacted much of the Mid Atlantic, and specifically the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas, other locations have [...]

Father’s Day Forecast not as wet as advertised

10:00 AM
The visible satellite picture this morning shows us that once again, yet another weekend has been spoiled by wet, soggy conditions.  However, I do have some good news for this afternoon.  Note that over the Hudson Valley and over eastern Pennsylvania that the clouds have started to break up and some clouds are lifting [...]

Strong Thunderstorms for Saturday, June 13, 2009

Most recent updates on the bottom!
12:40:48 PM: The strongest thunderstorm of all the thunderstorms throughout the region is over western Burlington County.
12:42:03 PM: The thunderstorm over western Burlington County is producing very heavy rainfall and frequent lightning.
12:43:03 PM: These thunderstorms are below severe level, but can reduce visibility rapidly due to the heavy rainfall and [...]