Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
11:20 AM
The area of low pressure responsible for widespread flooding, coastal flooding, and wind damage is finally starting to weaken over the central Mid Atlantic this morning.
The surface low and upper level structure of the storm have become vertically stacked. What this means is the surface, 850 MB, 700 MB, and 500 MB low pressure [...]
7:51 AM
High pressure is currently to the east of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area producing light and variable winds and relatively warm temperatures. Comfortable conditions are expect through tomorrow afternoon with highs pushing well into the 50’s for most locations for highs with the exception of the immediate coast where temperatures will [...]
9:14 AM
A stretch of great weather conditions continues today with strong high pressure over the Ohio Valley. The high pressure system, producing a moderating west and northwesterly wind, will slowly move to the East coast over the next several days. The shift in the high pressure system to the Tennessee Valley and eventually the southern [...]
7:32 AM
This morning, an impressive cold front is moving through central Pennsylvania and producing heavy rainfall throughout the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas. The cold front will continue to progress east this morning and exit the New Jersey coast by 12 PM and eastern Long Island by 2 PM. The rainfall with this [...]
7:15 AM
Last night, the 00Z GFS produced a solution that has little support else where, but I wanted to discuss the viability and the inviability of this solution to put those who might worry for a major winter storm on Sunday night.
The water vapor this morning shows us two important features. The first is the [...]
6:52 AM
Before the usual morning forecast, I wanted to give an update on the storm raging outside this morning. The rain/ice/snow line continues to steadily push north, however many locations have already been impacted. Many locations have already experienced moderate to heavy snow with accumulations ranging from 2 inches to 6 inches over the interior [...]
2:48 PM
The relatively warm conditions that the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas have experienced and will continue to experience up until Thanksgiving, better be enjoyed to the highest degree because significant changes are on the way.
The last time I was able to post several days ago, I detailed my ideas on what to [...]
5:00 AM
Over the past several days, I have been tracking the approach of then hurricane Ida, which was entrained into a Sub Tropical disturbance and is now phasing with a Polar disturbance over the Mid Atlantic coast. Model guidance has been wildly inconsistent in the forecasting of this storm, however the forecast at NY NJ [...]
5:00 AM
Over the past several days, I have discussed a great deal about the potential impacts that the remnants of Tropical Storm Ida will have on the northern Mid Atlantic. It is now clear that the models in general have handled this pattern poorly.
A surface low will develop off the North Carolina coast this afternoon [...]
11:30 AM
This morning, I discussed in great detail on what the model guidance was suggesting will occur over the next 24 hours that will keep the heavy rainfall associated with the remnants of Ida and the Sub Tropical disturbance well to the south. The idea even now in the model guidance is that the disturbance [...]
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