Reloading | NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Threat for showers continues through the week

June 15th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:18 AM
Another disturbance is dropping south through the Hudson Valley, Connecticut, and Long Island Sound this morning with a round of heavy rain this morning. This disturbance will continue to drop south and east and will exit the forecast area over the next 2 to 3 hours, impacting much of Connecticut and Long Island rush hour [...]

Tags: afternoon hours, air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, Bridgeport, Citi Field, clouds, cloudy skies, coast, coastal plain, coastal waters, cold, Connecticut, continuation, deep trough, Delaware, delaware river valley, Disturbance, downpours, east, easterly wind, england, evenings, evolution, exiting, fog, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, instability, Islip, Jets, levels of the atmosphere, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Mets, mid, mid level, morning rush hour, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, Northeast, northern, overcast, overcast skies, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, prospects, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, reloading, Ridge, Rush Hour Traffic, scattered showers, Scranton, showers, similarity, sound, soundings, south, southe, Southeast, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, tuesday afternoon, tuesday morning, valleys, visibility, warm, water vapor, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Maritime High Pressure Keeps Clouds Over Region

June 14th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:36 AM
Through this up coming week, the weather conditions will mirror more of late September rather than mid June as high pressure positions itself over Maine and several waves of low pressure passes to the south. Conditions like yesterday’s heavy rain event may develop for any particular afternoon where some clearing develops and mesoscale boundaries [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, Citi Field, clouds, coast, coastal waters, cold, Connecticut, Delaware, drizzle, drought, enhancement, evenings, exiting, flood, flooding, floods, fog, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gradient, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, humidity, instability, Islip, late september, layers of the atmosphere, levels of the atmosphere, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maine, mesoscale, mesoscale boundaries, Mets, mid, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rain, rain event, Rainfall, Reading, reloading, Scranton, short wave, showers, similarity, south, stationary front, subsidence, Summer, sun, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, travelers, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, water vapor, wave trough, waves, weather, weather conditions, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind pattern, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Showers remain a threat as humid conditions dominant

June 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:10 AM
The type of pattern the forecast area is being influenced by is at times difficult to forecast for in terms of timing showers and thunderstorms as there are several factors that mixing the atmosphere. For one, take a look at the latest visible satellite image.
The stationary front over the southern Mid Atlantic, is [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, Citi Field, clouds, coast, coastal waters, cold, cold air, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, destabilization, dew points, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, easterly winds, england, focal point, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, humid conditions, humidity, Islip, isolated thunderstorms, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, marine bases, mesoscale, metros, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, moisture, New England, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, northern, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, reloading, Ridge, risk, satellite, Scranton, several factors, showers, slides, south, Southwest, stationary front, substancial, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, travelers, Trough, troughs, valleys, visibility, visible satellite image, warm, weather, weather pattern, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, Yankee Stadium, Yankees, yesterday afternoon. Technical Discussions Closed

More Challenging Forecasts On The Way

January 16th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:58 AM
The pattern is not going to break down quietly, I think that is for certain. The cold air mass is refreshed though not as intense on Monday and Tuesday as the storm, in what ever result, exits the forecast area. Some moderation begins in the temperatures on Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday, however many locations [...]

Tags: arctic cold, area, axis, cold, cold air mass, Disturbance, dives, epo, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, guidance, intensity, isentropic, Jets, level jet, lifting, low, lows, Model Guidance, models, moderation, normal, normals, north, North Carolina, periods, pna, precipitation, precipitations, reloading, s, shape, Storm, storms, suggestion, temperature, temperatures, time period, Trough, tuesday afternoon, tuesday night, watches, wednesday morning, wills. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

Winter Storm Likely Over Interior. Coastal Plain, Not So Much

December 9th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

The reason why I didn’t jump the gun on the solution from the GFS yesterday, specifically the 12Z GFS, was one simple and overriding reason. No negative NAO. No 50/50 low structure over the Canadian Maritimes. And a lot of timing needed to get conditions just right for a winter storm along the coast.
The [...]

Tags: 12z gfs, accumulation, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, boundary layer, Bport, briefly, canada, canadian maritimes, clipper, coast, coastal plain, cold, cold air mass, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, east, evenings, Fall, final call, forecast, forecaster, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, Gulf Coast, Gulf of Mexico, Hartford, high, interaction, Islip, Long Island, low, low pressure system, lows, Maine, map, Mexico, Model Guidance, models, moisture, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, north norther, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, qpf, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, reloading, repositions, Ridge, s, Scranton, sleet, snow, snow sleet, snowfall, specifics, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thursday night, time of year, Tropical, tropics, Trough, troughs, warm, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, windy, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions Closed

Winter Storm Discussion And Thoughts

December 8th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

There is a lot to discuss with this winter storm for Thursday evening through Friday and let me tell you, I had a hard time sleeping with all the thoughts running through my head. So let’s dive in and get started.

First, I think it is important to discuss the trends of the models. I’m not [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bport, caa, clipper, clippers, coast, coastal plain, cold, cold air, cold bias, confluence, Connecticut, continuation, convergence, discussion, Disturbance, dives, dominance, east, East Coast, ecmwf, england, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecaster, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, hard time, Hartford, high, Islip, Jets, Long Island, low, lows, map, meteorologist, Mexico, mid, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, north norther, orientation, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, rain snow, Reading, relaxation, reloading, Ridge, Scranton, sleet, snow, snow line, south, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thoughts running through my head, thursday night, Trenton, Trough, troughs, two areas, waa, warm, watches, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind pattern, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

Answering Some Questions

December 7th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

I got some interesting questions, well two actually, that I want to answer this morning.
1. What is CSI?
Conditional Symmetric Instability is a meso or small scale form of lifting under conditions of strong thermal gradient intensification, like what we are seeing for this Thursday night and Friday. However, if you want a really in [...]

Tags: alaska, area, Atlantic, blocking, coast, cold, continuation, discussion, east, ecmwf, epo, extremes, Fall, forecast, forecaster, front, funny, gfs, guidance, intensification, Kentucky, lifting, meso, mid, models, normal, north opinions, plains, Reading, reloading, Ridge, Rockies, south, Southeast, Storm, storms, Tropical, tropics, Trough, troughs, warm, weather, west, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Closed

Model Timing And The Cold Push

November 28th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

The medium range is going to be tough to forecast for, which is nothing new so far this fall. However, the overall idea remains that an arctic cold front will slowly push south and east through next week, which will result in variable weather conditions and the influence of waves of low pressure for the [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, another 48 hours, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, clouds, cloudy skies, coast, cold, cold air, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, correct solution, Disturbance, east, East Coast, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, guidance, Hartford, high, Hudson Valley, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, medium range, models, monday afternoon, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normal temperatures, north, northeastern Pennsylvania, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, rain snow, Reading, reloading, risk, scattered showers, Scranton, showers, snow, snow showers, south, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Trough, troughs, variable weather conditions, waves, weather, wednesday night, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

Thanksgiving Weekend Thankfully Not Too Chilly

November 24th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

The pattern will be going into a brief state of reloading and relaxation for the last weekend of November, Thanksgiving weekend, and for the first five days of December. As a result, the storm track I’m expecting will run from the Mississippi Valley to over the coastal plain and into interior New England. In other [...]

Tags: accumulation, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, clearing skies, coastal plain, cold, cold air, Connecticut, east, ecmwf, elevation, england, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, Hartford, high, higher elevations, Hudson Valley, incre, Islip, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, medium range, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, northeastern Pennsylvania, opinions, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Reading, relaxation, reloading, Scranton, showers, sleet, snow, snow events, snow showers, snowfall, Storm, storm track, storms, Sussex, systems, thanksgiving, thanksgiving weekend, warm, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, word of advice. Technical Discussions Closed

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