Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
8:00 AM
The coastal low off the Virginia/North Carolina coastal waters this morning continues to slowly exit to the east-northeast this morning. The coastal low actually has ended up slightly closer to the coast than expected, but is now moving into the Atlantic with diminishing impacts through the rest of the day. However, much of the [...]
7:49 AM
A strong upper low over northern Virginia this morning will move through New Jersey this afternoon with bands of light to moderate snow throughout the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas. This upper low will support the intensification of an area of low pressure to the east of Monmouth County, New Jersey which [...]
5:35 AM
The coastal low this morning has moved further south than forecasted and as a result the brunt of the light precipitation expected to impact the Philadelphia metropolitan area and southern New Jersey will remain off the coast. While temperatures are cold enough to support a frozen mix of precipitation, the steady precipitation has tracked [...]
7:22 AM
An area of low pressure off the VA/NC coast is moving along a stationary front that extends northeastward through the New Jersey coastal waters. This low pressure system is enhancing lifting over the Philadelphia and southern New York City metropolitan area, producing periods of moderate to heavy rainfall. This rainfall was a bit unexpected [...]
7:50 AM
Partly cloudy skies can be expected through the morning. Scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms will develop this afternoon with the strongest thunderstorms capable of wind gusts over 55 mph, large hail, frequent lightning, heavy downpours, and an isolated tornado or water spout. The thunderstorms will rapidly reduce visibility and will have the [...]
6:22 AM
The next three days will be the last “gasp” of the negative NAO influence on the pattern as high pressure over the forecast area slowly slides off the coast. Meanwhile, a weak disturbance will gain a bit of strength while exiting the southern Mid Atlantic coast and will bring a few scattered showers to [...]
9:14 AM
Round One:
I thought of that cause I have Rocky II on in the back ground, but I think it is appropriety given the situation.
Precipitation is racing through Illinois and entering Indian. This area of precipitation is producing light snow and is a heck of a lot more consolidated than any model guidance has [...]
10:05 AM
I want to discuss a few ideas for this upcoming week, as I will naturally be focusing on the short range the rest of the day.
The pattern is changing, that’s for certain. However, I think my idea of a moderation for the end of January into early February is going to be wrong. Oh, [...]
6:30 AM
The snow pack in place over the interior is doing its job of slowly down the warm air advection at the surface, which is supporting an area of freezing rain over locations north and west of the Philadelphia and New York City metros. Freezing rain even feel briefly along the coast before temperatures have [...]
6:40 AM
I don’t always trust MM5 guidance, but take a look at this. Up to this point, the MM5 has actually nailed the position of the low pressure system, the low level cold air, the dew points, and the position of the 850 MB freezing line to a T.
What the model shows for the [...]
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