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Tag Archive for 'Rockies'

Great weekend conditions return to northern Mid Atlantic!

7:27 AM
The return of weather that you can enjoy outside has returned and just in time for the weekend!  The gloomy conditions over the past few days have now exited well into the Atlantic as an area of low pressure continues to slowly exit towards Europe.
This morning, high pressure over the Ohio Valley is in [...]

Uncertainty grows for weekend forecast

7:00 AM
I would love to be able to say I know exactly what is going to transpire over the next five days and I am extremely confident in the forecast I am going to issue.  The problem is that I can’t say that and likely won’t be able to say that until Thursday night.  Over [...]

ICY Christmas night expected over interior, best snow pattern in years on the way

7:45 AM
I have a lot of information to go over this morning so get your coffee or tea and get ready for a lengthy read.
This morning, the water vapor satellite picture shows a developing and energetic Sub Tropical Disturbance about to interact with a strong Polar disturbance racing south along the eastern Rockies.  Eventually these [...]

Evening Thoughts- starting to piece the storm together

8:53 PM
Tonight I want to step away from the models, which are certainly trending towards the third solution I discussed this morning and instead put together how I feel this storm will come above. To do this, I am going to use the water vapor satellite picture and hope that you’ll follow me along on [...]

Arctic cold front leads to cold and stormy period

7:22 AM
A cold front with an arctic air mass on the verge of driving into the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas is slowly pushing through central Pennsylvania this morning.  This cold front is running into an air mass with a lack of deep moisture, so showers are widely scattered at worst.  As the [...]

Evening Thoughts- All eyes on this weekend

10:15 PM
This evening, the major discussion is all about the potential for a significant winter storm at some point between Saturday and Monday morning.  A wide range of model guidance all hint at the potential for this weekend.  The key for this weekend comes down to the individual disturbances in the Sub Tropical and Polar [...]

A complicated forecast for a complicated pattern

9:57 AM
This post is going to lack images.  I want to focus on trying to explain this without any distraction as we enter a period of weather that may lend to some rather wintery results.  Let me be clear, this pattern may reload at some point in December, but that reload will be brief as [...]

Long range guidance hits a bump in the road

8:40 AM
I’m sure everyone has seen the extended forecast on the GFS that dumps a significant arctic air mass into the Rockies and West coast.  This naturally leads to a large ridge over the eastern third of the nation and rather warm conditions.  The ECMWF is not as aggressive but does have a storm track [...]

Windy conditions continue and the impact of the progressing MJO

7:30 AM
The strong low pressure system that has bombed out over the Gulf of Maine is now pushing into the Canadian Maritimes.  Winds this morning are sustained at 15 to 30 mph throughout the northern Mid Atlantic with gusts exceeding 40 mph, especially along the coast.  As a result, a wind advisory is in place [...]

The step down begins

7:10 AM
This morning, the first step towards a cold and potentially very stormy pattern is unfolding.  A very strong coastal low continues to intensify off the New England coast this morning as a strong upper low intensifies over the Ohio Valley and Mid Atlantic.
I’ve been discussing for several weeks now that a major change in [...]



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