6:40 AM

An area of low pressure over the Atlantic Ocean remains stalled and will continue to influence conditions over the coastal waters today.  Partly cloudy skies can be expected with a risk of widely scattered showers, especially in the late afternoon hours.  The showers and thunderstorms will be capable of brief heavy downpours and strong wind gusts.  However, most thunderstorms will remain below severe levels.  Tonight, partly cloudy conditions will continue with a few isolated lingering showers.  On Tuesday and Wednesday, weak disturbances will continue to rotate around the low pressure system over the Atlantic, bringing a risk of scattered showers each afternoon.  Otherwise, partly cloudy skies can be expected through the period.

Winds will be from the north around 10 to 20 mph through tonight.  Locations east of Long Island will have sustained winds from the north around 20 to 40 mph with higher gusts, prompting a gale warning. On Tuesday, winds will remain from the north, but will decrease to 5 to 15 mph.  On Tuesday night and Wednesday, winds will back slightly to the northwest around 5 to 15 mph.  

Temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 70′s for highs this afternoon.  On Tuesday, temperatures will fall into the upper 50′s to lower 60′s for morning lows and rebound into the lower to mid 70′s for afternoon highs.  On Wednesday, temperatures will fall into the lower 60′s for morning lows and rebound into the upper 70′s for afternoon highs.  

Water temperatures will range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s over the New Jersey coastal waters down through the Delaware Bay.  Much cooler waters are expected east of Long Island with water temperatures in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s. 

Wave heights will range from 3 to 6 feet through this evening.  Waves will subside overnight to 2 to 4 feet and remain in that range through the rest of the forecast period.  

A small craft advisory is in effect through this evening.  A coastal flood watch is also in effect through tonight for the New Jersey coast.

9:23 AM

Low pressure east of Long Island and south of New England has stalled and will impact the forecast area over the next several days.  Variable cloud cover can be expect today through Tuesday.  Scattered showers will be rotating through the coastal waters through this afternoon as the low pressure system slowly drifts east.  Showers will become widely scattered tonight and tomorrow as the low pressure system loses influence.  Variable clouds and isolated showers can be expected on Tuesday.

Winds will be from the north and northwest around 10 to 20 mph today through this evening.  Tonight through Monday, winds will remain from the north and northwest around 15 to 30 mph.  Winds will decrease from the north on Monday night through Tuesday around 5 to 15 mph.  

Temperatures will rise into the mid 60′s to lower 70′s for afternoon highs.  On Monday, temperatures will fall into the upper 50′s to lower 60′s for morning lows and rebound into the upper 60′s to lower 70′s for afternoon highs.  On Tuesday, temperatures will fall into the upper 50′s to lower 60′s for lows and rebound into the lower to mid 70′s for afternoon highs.  

Water temperatures will range from the mid 60′s to lower 70′s over the New Jersey coastal waters down through the Delaware Bay.  Much cooler waters are expected east of Long Island with water temperatures in the upper 50′s to mid 60′s.

Wave heights will range from 2 to 4 feet through the period.  A small craft advisory is in effect through early Tuesday morning for much of the coastal waters due to the low pressure system off the coast.  

Minor coastal flooding may be an issue for the northern shores of Long Island and the south facing bays throughout the forecast area due to the persistent northerly winds over the next several days.

6:37 AM

Clear to partly cloudy skies can be expected through the overnight hours as a low pressure system continues to exit the coast and weak high pressure builds in from the eastern Great Lakes.  Another area of low pressure developing over the western Ohio Valley will move towards the Mid Atlantic on Saturday.  There is some uncertainty on the development and position of the showers and thunderstorms, however there is a significant threat for wide spread showers and thunderstorms throughout the forecast area, especially on Saturday afternoon.  Showers will linger on Sunday with clearing skies in the afternoon and evening.  

Winds will be from the west around 5 to 15 mph through this evening.  Tonight, winds will veer to the north and northeast around 5 to 15 mph.  On Saturday, winds will continue to veer to the east and southeast around 5 to 15 mph.  Winds will back to the northeast around 10 to 20 mph on Saturday night.  On Sunday, winds will continue to back to the north around 10 to 20 mph.  

Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 70′s for afternoon highs.  On Saturday, temperatures will fall into the lower to upper 60′s for morning lows and rebound into the lower 70′s to lower 80′s for afternoon highs.  On Sunday, temperatures will fall into the lower to upper 60′s for morning lows and rebound into the upper 60′s to upper 70′s for afternoon highs.

Water temperatures range from the mid 60′s to lower 70′s throughout the coastal waters with the exception of the coastal waters just east of Long Island where water temperatures range from the mid to upper 50′s.

Wave heights will range from 2 to 4 feet through the forecast period.

7:00 AM

Periods of rain through the afternoon as a low pressure system passes to the north and west of the coastal waters.  A few scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger in the evening followed by clearing skies towards morning.  On Friday, partly cloudy skies can be expected in the morning followed by another area of low pressure with scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon.  A third disturbance will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms through the day with otherwise overcast conditions.  

Winds will be from the southeast around 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph through this afternoon.  Tonight, winds will veer to the south around 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.  By Friday morning, winds will veer quickly to the west around 5 to 15 mph.  By the afternoon, winds will be from the west around 5 to 15 mph along the coast, however over the coastal waters winds will be from the south around 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.  Winds will be from the south and southwest around 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph on Friday evening through much of Saturday.  As a cold front approaches on Saturday evening, winds will veer to the west around 5 to 15 mph.

Temperatures will rise into the mid 60′s to lower 70′s for afternoon highs today.  On Friday, temperatures will fall into the lower to mid 60′s for morning lows and rebound into the lower to mid 70′s for afternoon highs.  On Saturday, temperatures will fall into the lower to mid 60′s for morning lows and rebound into the lower to upper 70′s for afternoon highs.

Water temperatures range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s throughout the coastal waters with a notable exception to the east of Long Island where water temperatures remain in the mid to upper 50’s.   

Wave heights will range from 4 to 8 feet through tonight.  However, seas will subside to 2 to 4 feet by Friday morning and remain in that range through Saturday.  A small craft advisory is in effect for all coastal waters.

6:44 AM

High pressure over New England this morning is keep the majority of the high clouds at bay, however clouds will increase initially with high clouds and later towards evening with lows clouds.  A warm front currently over the Ohio Valley will move towards the coastal waters on Thursday with widespread showers and thunderstorms.  The showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy downpours at times and reduced visibility.  An area of low pressure will slowly move to the north of the region with an occluded front on Friday producing lingering scattered showers.

Winds through this afternoon will remain from the east around 5 to 15 mph as high pressure over southern New England continues to influence the forecast area.  Tonight, winds will be from the east-southeast around 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph at times.  As the warm front moves through tomorrow, winds will veer to the southeast around 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.  Stronger gusts are possible in and around thunderstorms.  Winds will veer to the south and then southwest on Friday around 5 to 15 mph as the occluded front passes.  

Temperatures will rise into the mid to upper 60′s for highs this afternoon.  On Thursday, temperatures will fall into the mid 50′s to lower 60′s for morning lows and rebound into the mid 60′s to lower 70′s for afternoon highs.  On Friday, temperatures will fall  into the lower to mid 60′s for lows and rebound into the upper 60′s to upper 70′s for afternoon highs.  

Water temperatures range from the mid 60’s to lower 70’s throughout the coastal waters with a notable exception to the east of Long Island where water temperatures remain in the mid to upper 50’s.  

Wave heights will range from 2 to 4 feet through tonight.  On Thursday, seas will continue to build to 3 to 6 feet with higher swells in and around strong thunderstorms.  Wave heights will subside on Friday down to 2 to 4 feet.  A small craft advisory is in effect through Friday morning.