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ICY Christmas night expected over interior, best snow pattern in years on the way

December 24th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:45 AM
I have a lot of information to go over this morning so get your coffee or tea and get ready for a lengthy read.
This morning, the water vapor satellite picture shows a developing and energetic Sub Tropical Disturbance about to interact with a strong Polar disturbance racing south along the eastern Rockies. Eventually these [...]

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Scattered showers on the move

March 31st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:28 PM
Most of you who read this blog on a daily basis (and thank you for that!) know that I like to rely more on observations, radar data, and satellite data rather than leaning on model guidance. Well, the forecast for tomorrow is no different as we can clearly see a trend beginning to show [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, blog, Bridgeport, city metro, coast, cold, Connecticut, daily basis, Disturbance, early evening, evenings, exiting, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, guidance, Gulf Coast, Hartford, Islip, lifting, Long Island, low, lows, metros, Model Guidance, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, observation, observations, Ohio, overnight hours, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, radar, radar data, Rainfall, Reading, satellite, satellite data, satellite image, Scranton, showers, Sussex, tomorrow afternoon, two areas, valleys, water vapor satellite, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

Satellite Data Telling An Interesting Story

February 2nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:35 PM
Looking at the satellite data can be an important tool is figuring out what is going on in the atmosphere. The water vapor and IR satellite images to the left. First, let’s take a look at the IR satellite image. Clearly the clouds are cooling rapidly over the East coast, which indicates rapidly rising [...]

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Thoughts On 00Z NAM And GFS

February 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

11:25 PM
The 00Z NAM and GFS tonight are showing the potential for a major to history winter storm over the forecast area Monday night into Wednesday morning.
So what caused the change in the models? The introduction of the additional energy from the northern Pacific in the form of the jet streak that I discussed [...]

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Developing Clipper Will Bring A Coating Of Snow To Forecast Area

December 6th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

When forecasting the weather, the most import tool a meteorologist has is current observations. In today’s day and age, that also includes great radar and satellite data. What I see this morning is a clipper driving through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley with more moisture and stronger upper level dynamics than forecasted on most [...]

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My Winter Forecast For 2008/09

October 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

It is once again that time of year where snow lovers across the Northeast and Mid Atlantic have one question and one desire. Will my back yard see plenty of white or brown mud?
Before I go into detail about my winter forecast, I want to explain how I developed and produced the theory for [...]

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