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Tag Archive for 'saturday evening'

Significant heavy rain threat expected this weekend

4:30 PM
A significant rainfall event is expected to begin late on Thursday and is expected to continue through early next week.  All model guidance is coming into strong agreement on the development of a long duration rain event for all of the northern Mid Atlantic.
A strong upper low currently over the central Plains will slowly [...]

Tranquil conditions continue, but rainy weekend on the way

7:30 AM
High pressure continues to remain just to the west of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area, creating a light and dry northwesterly wind and clear skies.  The down sloping component of the northwesterly wind off the Appalachian Mountains will support warm temperatures once again with most locations in the 50’s to possibly [...]

Uncertainty remains as major winter storm heads east

7:43 AM
I would love to say this morning that I know exactly what this storm is going to do and that I have complete confidence in the way the models are handling the moisture advection at the mid levels, the expansion of the precipitation shield, and the strength of the Sub Tropical disturbance.  If I [...]

The Polar disturbance that is causing the model mayhem

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7:49 AM
Another run and more indecision on the model guidance on what to expect for the period of Sunday night through Monday.  What disturbance is causing these issues?  I have found the culprit and this feature is not going to be handled very well until late in the week at the earliest!
– Weather When [...]

Low pressure this weekend acts more like a warm front

7:28 AM
This morning, high pressure is the dominant player over much of the northern Mid Atlantic with temperatures bottoming out in the mid to upper 10’s over the interior and lower 20’s to lower 30’s along the coast.  Naturally, the urban areas of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan are the warmest this morning. [...]

Evening Thoughts- (Part 1) Saturday’s snow potential

9:11 PM
Over the past several days, there has been some excitement throughout the weather world (at least in the Mid Atlantic) for a potential snow event Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
My thoughts the past few days focused on the boundary layer temperatures through the time which the majority of the precipitation with this low [...]

Evening Thoughts- Answering member’s questions

9:04 PM
Tonight, a strong low pressure is driving through the Ohio Valley with steady moderate to heavy rain over much the northern Mid Atlantic.  The low pressure system will continue to progress to the north and east overnight towards western New York with periods of heavy rain through early tomorrow morning.  The cold front will [...]

Meteorological law driving model guidance for this weekend

3:22 PM
This morning I discussed why I was hesitant to buy into a major or moderate snow producer for the northern Mid Atlantic on Saturday afternoon through early Sunday morning.  There were two main contentions in the guidance.  The first was a lack of amplification of the ridge over the eastern Rockies, needed to support [...]

Boat and beach report for Thursday, October 1 2009

6:07 AM
Scattered to broken cloud cover can be expect through this afternoon and into the overnight hours as an upper low to the north rotates weak disturbances through the region.  Clouds will increase through the day on Friday as a warm front approaches with showers by the evening.  Showers will increase in coverage towards Saturday [...]

Boat and beach report for Thursday, September 10 2009

5:25 AM
Overcast skies and periods of steady rain, heavy at times, can be expected throughout the coastal waters this morning through Saturday morning as an area of low pressure slowly moves to the east of the region.  The rain will taper off to scattered showers on Saturday afternoon with clearing conditions by the evening as [...]



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