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Preliminary Storm Recap

March 14th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

4:10 PM
Another round of rainfall is expected tonight with this storm, however the worst conditions are over.
The storm developed initially as a frontal boundary off the New Jersey coast. As a strong upper low started to drive towards the Mississippi Valley, the low and eventually mid level winds began to veer to the southeast off [...]

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Foggy start this morning with increasing flooding potential this weekend

March 11th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

8:00 AM
The temperatures may be warmer, but the active storm track that the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area experienced in February is returning once again.
The easterly fetch developing at the mid and lower levels of the atmosphere is already influencing the northern Mid Atlantic as Atlantic moisture moves into the coastal plain. The [...]

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Enjoyable conditions coming to a rainy end

March 10th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

7:51 AM
High pressure is currently to the east of the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area producing light and variable winds and relatively warm temperatures. Comfortable conditions are expect through tomorrow afternoon with highs pushing well into the 50’s for most locations for highs with the exception of the immediate coast where temperatures will [...]

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Concerns with a Gulf of Mexico Winter Storm

February 3rd, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 30°F;Humidity: 92%;Heat Index: 30°F;Wind Chill: 27°F;Pressure: 30.08 in.;

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Evening Thoughts- Zeroing in on winter storm impacts

January 25th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

10:00 PM
My thoughts this evening on the storm for Friday night through Sunday morning has not changed much. The overall development of the storm will depend on the development of the Polar Vortex and the interaction of the Arctic cold front with the Sub Tropical disturbance.
The initial set up for this storm on Friday afternoon [...]

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Evening Thoughts: The risk of a stronger, more defined coastal low

December 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

11:00 PM
In this morning’s post I discussed the threat of a stronger coastal low due to a more pronounced coastal front. The guidance from 12Z and 18Z took a troubling turn in suggesting just that scenario. One of which, that even suggest that the coastal low becomes the primary low SOUTH of the northern Mid [...]

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Major Snow Storm with Blizzard Conditions Expected Saturday through Sunday afternoon

December 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:14 PM
Obviously tonight all of our focus is on the storm that is on the way for Saturday. This afternoon, the model guidance took a strong swing towards what I defined two days ago as scenario 3, which is a full phase intense winter storm that is capable of producing significant snowfall. Given the data [...]

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Evening Thoughts- Breaking down the storm threat

December 15th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:24 PM
I am very tempted this evening to issue text alerts about the potential for a significant winter storm for Sunday afternoon through Monday evening. The ingredients are there, and one of the most reliable model guidance for the 5 to 7 day period suggest the game is on.
This evening the first stage of developing [...]

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Significant coastal storm through Saturday

November 12th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:00 AM
Over the past several days, I have been tracking the approach of then hurricane Ida, which was entrained into a Sub Tropical disturbance and is now phasing with a Polar disturbance over the Mid Atlantic coast. Model guidance has been wildly inconsistent in the forecasting of this storm, however the forecast at NY NJ [...]

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Evening Thoughts- Examining the moisture advection of Tropical Rick

October 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:18 PM
While high pressure and a building ridge holds sway over the Mid Atlantic this evening, trouble is brewing over the Southwestern United States.
Tropical Storm Rick, at one point a strong hurricane, is racing to the northeast towards mainland Mexico. The moisture from this tropical system is already interacting with a strong disturbance over the [...]

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