Free weather forecast for New York, New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania.
8:57 AM
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The one feature this morning, that I discussed briefly in the public post this morning can be seen very clearly on the IR and water vapor images.
Note the cooling cloud tops over the Ohio Valley that is racing towards the northern Mid Atlantic. This area of cooling is the direct result of [...]
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7:52 AM
As with the theme for much of this winter so far, model guidance continues to appear a bit lost in the handling of short wave disturbances over North America. For the time period of Thursday night through Saturday night, there [...]
11:26 AM
This morning I discussed the potential outcomes of the storm for the period of Saturday through Sunday. One of the solutions that I discussed was that the upper low over Quebec would be weaker and thus the disturbance dropping over central Ontario would have more of an influence while the negative NAO, still clearly [...]
9:04 PM
Tonight, a strong low pressure is driving through the Ohio Valley with steady moderate to heavy rain over much the northern Mid Atlantic. The low pressure system will continue to progress to the north and east overnight towards western New York with periods of heavy rain through early tomorrow morning. The cold front will [...]
8:11 AM
The models over the past several days had been advertising a rather significant rainfall event for the forecast area. The observations from the past two storms are in and here is the combined precipitation amounts from these storms.
I made a map based on the official National Weather Service Observations. The heaviest rainfall occurred along [...]
5:25 AM
Clouds will continue to increase to overcast cloud cover as a warm front moves through the coastal waters. Widely scattered showers can be expected through the day with drier conditions towards the southern New Jersey coastal waters. Tonight, a cold front will move through the coastal waters with scattered showers after midnight, otherwise broken [...]
6:40 AM
Clouds will increase through the day followed by widely scattered showers developing in the evening hours. Tonight, broken to overcast skies are expected along with scattered showers, heavy at times. Widespread showers with heavy downpours are expected from Saturday morning through the afternoon as an occluded front moves through the region. The occluded front [...]
5:25 AM
High pressure will dominate the New Jersey and Long Island coastal waters today through Saturday afternoon with scattered to clear skies and dry conditions. A strong warm front will approach on Sunday with scattered showers and thunderstorms capable of very heavy downpours.
Winds will be from the north around 5 to 15 mph through this [...]
5:15 AM
Overcast skies and periods of heavy rain can be expected through this afternoon as a coastal low moves through the forecast area today. Overcast skies and scattered showers will linger through tonight and into Saturday morning as the low departs. On Saturday afternoon, broken cloud cover can be expected with widely scattered showers. Clearing [...]
4:45 AM
Tropical Storm Danny remains a rather poorly organized tropical storm. Through the night, convection has continued to attempt to develop around the low level center of circulation, however strong southwesterly share has prevented the convection to wrap around the low level center completely. The future of Tropical Storm Danny is pretty well laid out [...]
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