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Tag Archive for 'shortwave'

Cooler, Fall conditions return

September 25th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:15 AM
The upper trough that finally forced a cold front off the East coast on Thursday morning will continue to slide to the east of the Mid Atlantic by this afternoon. The trough axis will be off the New Jersey coast this morning and passing the end of the Long Island Sound by this afternoon. [...]

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Quiet now, action packed weekend unfolding

August 26th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:15 AM
Surface high pressure will continue to drift off the coast, which will lead to an established southwesterly wind over the forecast area. A weak disturbance at 500 MB, represented by an even weaker cold front at the surface, will move through the forecast area this evening with an isolated showers possible, but otherwise dry [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, Caribbean Islands, central Plains, choppy seas, Citi Field, clear skies, coastal waters, cold front, Connecticut, divergence, exceed 2, forecast area, Freehold, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, hurricane danny, Islip, key role, latent heat release, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, Mets, mid levels, Model Guidance, negative tilt, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rainfall Amounts, Reading, Scranton, shortwave, southwesterly wind, Sussex, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Tropical Disturbance, tropical system, upper level trough, White Plains, Wild Wood, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

This Pattern, More Than Meets The Eye

January 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:51 AM
Taking a look at the pattern via surface maps, the potential and interest in the pattern through this weekend into next week would best be described as boring, especially the GFS. However, if one was to look at 500 MB, they would come away with a totally different perspective on this pattern that is [...]

Tags: a, air express, amounts, area, Atlantic, atmosphere, blocking, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, cold air, cold conditions, CONUS, different perspective, Disturbance, dives, doors, doubts, east, ecmwf, Energy, epo, ey, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, game, games, gfs, greenland, guidance, interaction, lifting, low, lows, map, maps, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moderation, nao, north, Northeast, northeastern connecticut, nuetral, Philadelphia, pv, Rain, Ridge, s, shortwave, shortwaves, snowfall, snowfall amounts, south, south storm, storm track, storms, surface maps, surfaces, surprise, systems, Trough, ukmet, weeke, west, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

The 12Z Guidance And Thoughts For Friday

December 29th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

8:59 PM
If you put your ear to the ground, you could hear the fall of a million snow lovers faint to the ground after seeing the 12Z GFS, which basically if taken verbatum would produce a significant snowfall for most of the forecast area, save southern New Jersey (even that location would still get measureable [...]

Tags: 12z gfs, advection, advertisement, amounts, area, Atlantic, better reason, blocking, bombs, boms, clipper, coast, coastal plain, cold, cold air, Disturbance, dives, doubts, ear to the ground, east, ecmwf, ensembles, evenings, evolution, ey, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, gfs, guidance, high, intensity, lifting, low, lows, measurement, mid, models, nam, new years eve, north, omega, plains, precipitation, pva, Rain, Reading, right off the bat, s, Shear, short wave, shortwave, sleet, snow, snow event, snow lovers, snow parade, snowfall, soundings, Storm, storms, systems, Trough, troughs, verbatum, warm, warm air advection, watches, wave trough, waves, wills, wishful thinking. Technical Discussions Closed

Winter Returns, But Questions Remain

December 28th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

10:22 AM
The up coming forecast for the middle and end of this week is going to be very difficult. The overall idea here on all model guidance is that the negative NAO block will be established while a series of clippers move through the forecast area. One clipper intensifies, and produces a strong Miller B [...]

Tags: accumulating snow, accumulation, amounts, area, Atlantic, blocking, cad, canada, clear skies, clipper, coast, cold, cold air, cold front, coming storm, confidence, confluence, continuation, convergence, cyclogenesis, delmarva, depiction, Disturbance, divergence, dives, ecmwf, england, extremes, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, front, gfs, Great Lakes, greenland, guidance, high, Hudson Valley, intensification, intensity, Jets, low, lows, maximums, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moderate snow, moderation, nao, new england coast, north, Northeast, northeastern Pennsylvania, Northwest, northwester, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, precipitation, pretense, pva, quebec, Ridge, s, shortwave, showers, snow, snow showers, south, Southeast, southeastern canada, specifics, Storm, storms, surfaces, synoptic, systems, valleys, Virginia, waa, waves, weeke, western quebec, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Closed

The Road To Snow And Cold

December 26th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

8:24 AM
The pattern in this period will be evolving into a cold and very storm pattern. In this post I will naturally explain the step down into what will make a lot of individuals in the I-95 corridor very happy, if you like snow at least. Then I will touch upon my thoughts for the [...]

Tags: Albany, alberta clipper, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, Bridgrt, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, colder temperatures, collapse, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, doubts, england, ensembles, epo, evenings, excitement, explaination, fashion, favorable position, few days, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, greenland, guidance, Hartford, high, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, pna, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Rain, rain and snow, Reading, Ridge, s, Scranton, shape, shortwave, showers, snow, snow showers, southeastern canada, Storm, storm pattern, storms, stratosphere, sunday morning, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Tennessee, Trough, valleys, waves, wednesday night, weeke, west, what this means, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter storm. Technical Discussions Closed

Evening Thoughts

December 10th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

So far the overall forecast is going well in the timing and structure of the overall low pressure system over the Gulf Coast. The phase, so close yet so far away, has never meant more than what we are seeing in the water vapor images and the surface features.
At 500 MB, the shortwave associated [...]

Tags: Albany, albany new york, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, central hudson, central Pennsylvania, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, Connecticut, continuation, elevation, evening thoughts, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, friday morning, Gulf of Mexico, Hartford, higher elevations, Hudson Valley, interaction, Islip, jet streams, Jets, Long Island, low, lows, map, maps, maximums, Mexico, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, northeastern Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsi, Poughkeepsie, poughkeepsie new york, Reading, Scranton, shortwave, sleet, snow, snow mix, Storm, storms, surface features, Sussex, systems, tomorrow evening, water vapor image, water vapor images, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed