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Tag Archive for 'showers'

Low pressure on the way out, but one more round of rain expected

4:30 PM
There are signs that the low pressure system that has brought over 3 inches of rain or more throughout the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area is finally starting to exit.
Pressure rises are being observed throughout the northern Mid Atlantic ranging from 1 to 3 MB per hour and the center of the [...]

Low pressure slowly exits, but another cloudy, damp day expected

7:30 AM
Another day and more rain.  That’s the best way to describe this dreary Monday morning.  Once again, the upper low that has plagued the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area since Thursday continues to drive Atlantic moisture into the northern Mid Atlantic.
A 996 MB surface low roughly 200 miles southeast of Long Island [...]

Showers and thunderstorms moving east from the Atlantic

9:45 AM
The area of low pressure that has produced widespread flooding and wind damage continues to sit just southwest of the Philadelphia metropolitan area over central Maryland.
The low pressure system is currently drawing an area of showers and thunderstorms into the forecast area from the Atlantic.  These showers and thunderstorms are capable of heavy downpours, [...]

Very heavy rain is on the way for New Jersey coast

8:59 PM
The coastal low is clearly becoming the primary low pressure system this evening as very strong lifting is developing off the coast along with a classic satellite signature of cyclogenesis.
The radar this hour is clearly showing an area of very heavy rain just south of Cape May, New Jersey moving north towards the coast. [...]

Significant flooding event expected for this weekend

4:25 PM
The storm is starting to organize over the Plains, Gulf Coast, and Southeast.  The model guidance at this point is in very strong agreement for a widespread heavy rainfall starting tomorrow afternoon and continuing on through Sunday morning with rainfall amounts by Monday morning ranging from 2 inches to as much as 5.5 inches [...]

Arctic cold front leads to cold and stormy period

7:22 AM
A cold front with an arctic air mass on the verge of driving into the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas is slowly pushing through central Pennsylvania this morning.  This cold front is running into an air mass with a lack of deep moisture, so showers are widely scattered at worst.  As the [...]

Cold front starts the decline

8:03 AM
The data this morning for all periods of this forecast is pretty interesting as a cold front will be moving through today, a significant rain storm will move through later in the week, and more uncertainty on how this pattern will unfold as the month unfolds.  Let’s deal with the here and now [...]

A perfect 48 hours of weather

8:53 AM
A week disturbance is moving through New England and the Hudson Valley this morning, however this disturbance will have little impact on the northern Mid Atlantic.  With little in the way of moisture in the atmosphere, no showers are expected with this disturbance, but a wind shift from the southwest to northwest will result [...]

Evening Update- watching a coastal low take shape

8:47 PM
A coastal low is starting to take shape off the Virginia coast this evening while pressure is dropping off the New Jersey coast.  This low pressure system is developing under the support of strong PVA or upper level lifting that is diving towards the Mid Atlantic coast from the Ohio Valley.  Precipitation throughout the [...]

Rain holds off for most of Halloween

7:36 AM
Today I’m going to focus on the short and medium term forecasts and say the long term thoughts for tomorrow as the Winter forecast will be issued along with a live chat on the forecast in the evening.  Besides, all the kids want to know if they are going to get rained on while [...]



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