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Tag Archive for 'significant impact'

Ocean storm brings rain/snow mix and some coastal flooding today

8:00 AM
The coastal low off the Virginia/North Carolina coastal waters this morning continues to slowly exit to the east-northeast this morning.  The coastal low actually has ended up slightly closer to the coast than expected, but is now moving into the Atlantic with diminishing impacts through the rest of the day.  However, much of the [...]

Snow showers remains a threat as storm winds down

8:57 PM
The surface low that has brought a near historic 20.9 inches of snow in Central Park and over a foot in many locations throughout the northern Mid Atlantic is slowly weakening and exiting to the east.
The surface low is actually splitting into two separate low pressure systems, one which will eventually deepen once again [...]

12Z NAM Thoughts

9:55 AM
The 12Z NAM is out and to the left is the QPF output for the storm based on this run.  Now I know many of you in northeastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey, and even New York City are screaming right now in frustration.  Is the NAM forecasting a miss for these areas?  Well,not exactly.
What [...]

Additional thoughts on the snow threat and progression of the patternTo

9:29 AM
Premium Content
A lot of action is starting to unfold for the northern Mid Atlantic.  As we all know, there is a snow threat for this weekend that has the potential to produce a significant snowfall for much of the northern Mid Atlantic.  Then there is the threat influence of the MJO in phase 7 [...]

Premium Content Preview: A swing and a miss… Maybe

9:47 PM
As of last night, the majority of model guidance started to take a decided jump towards a solution where much of the East coast with the exception of northern New England will miss out on what could have been an impressive snowfall.  So what are the models seeing and does the solution thus far [...]

Pattern changes and turkey dinners

7:45 AM
A weak yet pesky low pressure system continues to move away from the New Jersey coast this morning, however the persistent northeast to easterly winds associated with the low is keeping overcast skies and damp conditions over much of the northern Mid Atlantic.
Scattered showers continue to move through much of eastern Pennsylvania and New [...]

Extended thoughts for November

7:56 AM
A major change in the pattern is about to take hold if stratospheric considerations are added into the equation.
Over the past several weeks, the Pacific been in a constant shift back and forth between an upper low over the Gulf of Alaska and an upper low over the Aleutian Islands.  As a result, much [...]

Mid Morning Update

7:55 AM
This morning, the warm front is already to the east of Long Island and the cold front is driving through east-central Pennsylvania.  The showers will continue to move through the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas through 11 AM with a line of scattered showers and thunderstorms marking the cold front.
The heaviest rainfall [...]

Tropical Weather Update for Friday, August 21 2009

4:45 AM
Overnight, Hurricane Bill continued to move to the northwest around 18 to 20 mph with winds sustained at 125 mph.  Hurricane Bill will still have the potential to intensify back to category 4 strength over the next 24 to 48 hours as upper level conditions remain favorable with weak shear and sea surface temperatures [...]

Tropical Weather Update for Sunday, August 16 2009

4:45 AM
Tropical Storm Ana and Tropical Storm Bill continue to move to the west overnight.  Both Tropical Storms have maintained their strength overnight.
Tropical Storm Ana will continue to move to the west today and slowly continue to improve in overall structure.  Ana will move into an environment of low shear, which will allow Ana to [...]



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