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Brief 12Z NAM Thoughts

February 23rd, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

10:08 AM
The latest 12Z NAM is out and boy does it deliver a heck of a snow storm!
The basic idea of the 12Z NAM is to take the 500 MB low over the Tennessee Valley and basically park that upper low over the central New Jersey coastal waters and over Long Island on Thursday [...]

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More thoughts on Saturday’s winter storm

February 2nd, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 28°F;Humidity: 58%;Heat Index: 28°F;Wind Chill: 22°F;Pressure: 30.28 in.;

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No significant changes to thoughts from this morning

January 21st, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

8:50 PM
The current trends on the radar and the satellite basically support the forecast that I issued this morning. I don’t expect much in the way of precipitation north of central New Jersey through the immediate northwest suburbs of Philadelphia from this developing low pressure.
This evening, a new coastal low is forming off the South [...]

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Additional thoughts on tomorrow morning

January 21st, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

8:10 AM
Premium Content
The Sub Tropical disturbance moving through the Mississippi Valley is well organized and impressive, which is allowing the disturbance to draw plenty of moisture to the north over the Gulf Coast, Tennessee Valley, and Southeast. However, the current trend in guidance combined with the latest observations of the water vapor satellite images suggest [...]

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Drive of cold air next 48 hours key to Friday’s storm

January 20th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

8:10 AM
This morning, high pressure is building south and east from Ontario into Mid Atlantic providing clearing skies and a colder Polar air mass.
Current analysis of this air mass still suggest that this Polar air mass is being moderated and the warm temperatures of the past several days is having an impact to the boundary [...]

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Heavy rain tomorrow night brings a threat of flash flooding

January 16th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

9:26 AM
There is no doubt what the major feature on the water vapor satellite picture is this morning. A strong Sub Tropical disturbance is supporting the development of a strong and moisture loaded area of low pressure over the Gulf Coast that will move towards the New Jersey coastal waters by Sunday night.
Meanwhile, we can [...]

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Rain, snow, and ice on the way

December 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:30 AM
Rain, sleet, and even some snow is racing northward and eastward from the southern Mid Atlantic and Ohio Valley. A coastal low is slowly forming off the North Carolina coast while pressure is quickly falling throughout the Tennessee Valley and Mid Atlantic.
My concern this morning is the cold air that is locked in [...]

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Cold conditions wither away this weekend

December 11th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:00 PM
The coldest day so far this winter season was experienced today with highs throughout the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas in the 20’s and lower 30’s. The stiff northwesterly winds through the day didn’t help matters, making temperatures fell like the mid to upper 10’s through the afternoon. However, now high pressure [...]

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Morning Thoughts- snow and ice start to give way

December 9th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:52 AM
Before the usual morning forecast, I wanted to give an update on the storm raging outside this morning. The rain/ice/snow line continues to steadily push north, however many locations have already been impacted. Many locations have already experienced moderate to heavy snow with accumulations ranging from 2 inches to 6 inches over the interior [...]

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Evening Thoughts- lets get ready to rumble

December 7th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:35 PM
I have a feeling that I am going to be a very busy meteorologist through the New Year. The active, cold pattern is well on the way of forming and organizing and the agreement on the GFS and ECMWF in the medium and long range guidance of the overall pattern structure is nearly uncanny. [...]

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