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Cold front starts the decline

November 30th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:03 AM
The data this morning for all periods of this forecast is pretty interesting as a cold front will be moving through today, a significant rain storm will move through later in the week, and more uncertainty on how this pattern will unfold as the month unfolds. Let’s deal with the here and now [...]

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Strong upper low influences the region

September 24th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:45 AM
The pattern this morning is is dominated by two key features. A strong trough over the Great Lakes and an upper low over the central Plains.
The upper trough over the Great Lakes is still centered to the west of the region, which means a southwesterly flow remains over the Mid Atlantic. As a result, [...]

Tags: central Plains, cold front, deep trough, forecast area, Great Lakes, Mid Atlantic, Polar Jet Stream, Rain, short wave, showers, slides, southwesterly flow, sunday morning, thunderstorms, upper trough, water vapor, wave trough. Technical Discussions Closed

Boat and beach report for Sunday, September 20 2009

September 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:25 AM
High pressure will remain in control through Monday morning with clear skies and tranquil conditions. As the high pressure system slides east of the region on Monday night, clouds will increase, however no precipitation is expected. On Tuesday, high pressure will continue to move east of the region with increasing clouds through the day. [...]

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Boat and beach report for Saturday, August 1 2009

August 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

5:20 AM
Scattered cloud cover is expected this morning through tonight as weak high pressure slides to the east of the forecast area. A cold front will approach on Sunday with increasing clouds in the morning and scattered showers and strong to severe thunderstorms in the evening. On Monday, scattered to broken cloud cover can be [...]

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Boat and beach report for Saturday, July 18, 2009

July 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:52 AM
A few isolated lingering showers are possible over the coastal waters through the mid morning hours, otherwise clearing skies can be expected. High pressure will produce clear skies this evening through Sunday. As the high pressure slides east on Sunday night, a few clouds can be expected, but dry conditions will prevail. Few to [...]

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A break in the wet weather today, but more rain on the way

June 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:15 AM
As low pressure exits the forecast area this morning, a brief break in the clouds and rainfall can be expected through the day. In case anyone forgot, that big bright ball in the sky is called the sun, and no we are not in Seatlle. Weak high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes will [...]

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High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

June 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end. So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way. However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area.
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

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Showers remain a threat as humid conditions dominant

June 13th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:10 AM
The type of pattern the forecast area is being influenced by is at times difficult to forecast for in terms of timing showers and thunderstorms as there are several factors that mixing the atmosphere. For one, take a look at the latest visible satellite image.
The stationary front over the southern Mid Atlantic, is [...]

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Stationary front to keep dreary conditions through Friday

June 10th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:13 AM
While much of eastern Pennsylvania was impacted by strong to severe thunderstorms yesterday, much of the coastal plain was under the influence of a cool marine air mass, which produced generally overcast skies and showery conditions. The strong to severe thunderstorms over Pennsylvania produce large hail, frequent light, and flash flooding. I do not [...]

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Stormy and wet conditions to continue through Friday

June 3rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:23 AM
A line of impressively strong thunderstorms moved through much of central New Jersey this morning with very heavy rainfall, wind gusts over 50 mph, and impressive lightning strikes. Those thunderstorms have already had an impact on the region’s forecast as the cold front that was to the west of the region is now off [...]

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