NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Morning Thoughts- snow and ice start to give way

6:52 AM
Before the usual morning forecast, I wanted to give an update on the storm raging outside this morning.  The rain/ice/snow line continues to steadily push north, however many locations have already been impacted.  Many locations have already experienced moderate to heavy snow with accumulations ranging from 2 inches to 6 inches over the interior [...]

Live Coverage of snow and ice for this evening

I will be providing live observations and thoughts through this evening of the evolving snow and ice threat.  No questions will be taken as I would like to focus on the storm itself.  Sit back and enjoy the coverage.

December 8th/9th Ice threat
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 37°F;Humidity: 59%;Heat Index: 37°F;Wind Chill: 28°F;Pressure: 30.36 in.;

NY NJ PA Weather Consulting Services Available

This afternoon I would like to introduce to all of you the new service I have started to provide to locations throughout the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area.  Many of you have come to NY NJ PA weather for accurate, timely, and constant updates on the weather impacts that influence the forecast area.
Now [...]

Potential For Back End Snow This Evening

7:12 AM
The back end of the precipitation over the Ohio Valley is currently producing heavy snow and ice over parts of the Ohio Valley, can we expect the same?
Well, clearly 850 MB temperatures crash quickly  below freezing while the precipitation begins to move through.  This trend is seen this morning and has been seen in [...]

A Very Icy Night Setting Up Away From The Coast

7:48 PM
Right now, if you are along the immediate coast, your snow and ice worries are all but over.  The strengthening warm air advection off the Atlantic supported by the developing 850 MB low over the Tennessee and Ohio Valley has warmed the majority of the atmosphere above freezing, thus producing all rain for coastal [...]

Rain And Ice Setting Up For Tuesday And Wednesday

10:12 AM
There has been a lot of discussion of what to expect for the storm on Tuesday evening through Wednesday morning.  At first, there was a lot of indications that this may have the chance of being a wide spread snow event, however the overall pattern structure still does not support that outcome, yet.
What we [...]

Active Pattern Unfolding

8:00 AM
I want to deal with a few issues before going into the forecast. 
First, the strong NAO is not a pattern that supports significant winter storms usually.  It is the change from one NAO state to another that tends to support large winter storms.  The best case scenario is a weak, negative NAO or a [...]

Active Pattern Continues For Next Week

7:30 AM
The new year is certainly starting off with a bang this year, unfortunately that does not mean snow for all. 
The main theme through this period will be the changing Pacific and Atlantic patterns.  The negative NAO block will begin to weaken, however already the ECMWF is backing away from the complete collapse idea and [...]

Active And Blocking Pattern Ready To Rock Start Of 2009

8:07 AM
There are some interesting themes that are coming from the medium range guidance over the past few runs that need to be addressed as we move into the first full week of January, 2009.
The first theme that the model generally agree on is that the block over Greenland will significantly intensify to build down [...]

Active Pattern Developing While Models Have A Difficult Job Ahead

12:54 PM
Or maybe I should say meteorologist like me who are shaking their heads while looking at the model guidance.  When we have a difficult pattern unfolding, the best thing to do is not get bogged down with details of rain/snow lines and what not.  
Let’s think about this set up for a second.  
One, [...]