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More thoughts on Saturday’s winter storm

February 2nd, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 28°F;Humidity: 58%;Heat Index: 28°F;Wind Chill: 22°F;Pressure: 30.28 in.;

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Return to cold conditions as snow threat increases

January 26th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

8:10 AM
A weak disturbance behind the exiting cold front from yesterday, which produced rainfall amounts well over an inch in many locations, flash flooding, and some wind damage, has produced a few rain and snow showers early this morning, but is exiting into the Atlantic. A deep Polar trough is become established over the eastern [...]

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As heavy snow threat grows, similarities in past storms become clear

January 25th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

9:42 AM
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Model guidance over the past 48 hours has moved towards growing strong support for a significant accumulating snow event with various time ranges of Friday afternoon through Sunday morning. With the exception of the 00Z GFS and GFS Ensemble guidance, the overall set up for a major winter storm is as follows:
– Weather [...]

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Heavy rain expected along the coast on Sunday night

January 15th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

7:15 AM
Last night, the 00Z GFS produced a solution that has little support else where, but I wanted to discuss the viability and the inviability of this solution to put those who might worry for a major winter storm on Sunday night.
The water vapor this morning shows us two important features. The first is the [...]

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Afternoon thoughts- the snow approaches

January 7th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

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2:40 PM
The strong Arctic disturbance is on the move this afternoon and is holding together rather well. The latest radar images have light to moderate snow over much of the Ohio Valley this afternoon which is slowly progressing eastward towards western Pennsylvania.
My overall thoughts on this storm from the past few days have not [...]

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Pattern change or no pattern change, what is going on right now

January 7th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

Premium Content:
9:25 AM
There’s a lot to cover this morning. My primary focus is going to be on the pattern relaxation and then amplification for the medium and long range, but I want to touch on the light snow event for tonight into tomorrow first.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 32°F;Humidity: 59%;Heat Index: 32°F;Wind Chill: 21°F;Pressure: 29.92 [...]

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Mesoscale breakdown for Friday morning

January 6th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

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9:11 AM
A light snow event is going to unfold on Friday morning, but the details remain uncertain as much depends on the evolution of mesoscale parameters. So this morning, I’m going to try to clear some of the fog and mist of this time period and discuss the potential that exits and why it [...]

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There is more to this pattern than models suggest

January 2nd, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

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7:45 AM
An intensifying area of low pressure over the New England coastal waters will be moving towards the Gulf of Maine over the next 24 hours. As the low pressure intensifies, the winds across the northern Mid Atlantic will increase. By this afternoon I expect wind to range from 15 to 30 mph with [...]

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Evening Thoughts- All eyes on this weekend

December 14th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

10:15 PM
This evening, the major discussion is all about the potential for a significant winter storm at some point between Saturday and Monday morning. A wide range of model guidance all hint at the potential for this weekend. The key for this weekend comes down to the individual disturbances in the Sub Tropical and Polar [...]

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Evening Thoughts- (Part 1) Saturday’s snow potential

December 3rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:11 PM
Over the past several days, there has been some excitement throughout the weather world (at least in the Mid Atlantic) for a potential snow event Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
My thoughts the past few days focused on the boundary layer temperatures through the time which the majority of the precipitation with this low [...]

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