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Tag Archive for 'snow lovers'

Uncertainty remains as major winter storm heads east

7:43 AM
I would love to say this morning that I know exactly what this storm is going to do and that I have complete confidence in the way the models are handling the moisture advection at the mid levels, the expansion of the precipitation shield, and the strength of the Sub Tropical disturbance.  If I [...]

Cold front passage brings Arctic air back

7:30 AM
A cold front with an Arctic air mass behind the passage of the front is moving through the region this morning with scattered snow showers for much of the region.  The cold front is currently located in western Pennsylvania and will move east through the day.  Winds initially from the southwest will allow afternoon [...]

Pleasant weekend after storm exits, changes on the way

7:49 AM
This morning we have an excellent example of why winter storms are so hard to come by in the northern Mid Atlantic and why all features must be in place just right.  In this case, the Sub Tropical disturbance certainly delivered with an energetic and impressive storm developing off the North Carolina coast.  A [...]

Long Range Thoughts

8:15 AM
There is something brewing in the Tropical Pacific and it is called an MJO or Madden-Julian Oscillation.  To get a great overview on the technical side of what’s going on, I want to introduce you to a meteorologist with the initials HM who has written a great post on Eastern US Weather.
To break this [...]

Evening Thoughts- Showers approach, long range thoughts

9:36 PM
A weakening cold front is approaching this evening with scattered showers over much of Pennsylvania and central New York.  The cold front will continue to slowly move through the region over the next 24 hours.
The surface cold front is moving out ahead of the upper level trough, which will place the front under [...]

February Thoughts

 The winter has been like a pendulum for the forecast area.  At one time the Pacific is favorable producing a sustained cold shot via a negative EPO/positive PNA positioning of the ridge, however the Atlantic is out of sorts with little blocking.  At other times, the negative NAO is strong and dominant, but the Pacific [...]

Thoughts For The Weekend And Next Week

12:26 PM
The pattern going forward is not one that many “snow lovers” are going to like reading.  So first, step away from the windows, hide any sharp objects, and lock the door with the adult beverages.  
Another disturbance, the one that was producing a major coastal storm on the GFS will move through the forecast [...]

The 12Z Guidance And Thoughts For Friday

8:59 PM
If you put your ear to the ground, you could hear the fall of a million snow lovers faint to the ground after seeing the 12Z GFS, which basically if taken verbatum would produce a significant snowfall for most of the forecast area, save southern New Jersey (even that location would still get measureable [...]

Winter Wonder Land

6:09 PM
Well I’m finally home from the “other” job and it is a beautiful site out there in Freehold .  Steady snow and some sleet is falling throughout the forecast area with a mix of snow, sleet, and rain further to the south.  I have about a dusting of snowfall so far here in Freehold. [...]

A Roller Coast For Temperatures And Snow For The Interior

Most of you are outside right now, and if you are in southern New Jersey you may be confused as to whether we are in April or December as temperatures soar into the 60’s.  Well the party is about to come to an end as cold air breaks into the forecast area, but not before [...]



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