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Convective snowfall to play a key role on Wednesday

February 8th, 2010 by Steven DiMartino

9:37 AM
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The forecasted soundings for Wednesday morning are rather interesting and will likely have a key impact on snowfall totals throughout the region.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 23°F;Humidity: 57%;Heat Index: 23°F;Wind Chill: 10°F;Pressure: 29.99 in.;

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Threat for showers continues through the week

June 15th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:18 AM
Another disturbance is dropping south through the Hudson Valley, Connecticut, and Long Island Sound this morning with a round of heavy rain this morning. This disturbance will continue to drop south and east and will exit the forecast area over the next 2 to 3 hours, impacting much of Connecticut and Long Island rush hour [...]

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Boat and beach report for Monday, June 15 2009

June 15th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:48 AM
A disturbance is producing heavy rain over the Long Island Sound this morning and will continue to progress south and east through the morning hours with scattered showers off the New Jersey coast. After the disturbance passes, partly cloudy conditions can be expected through the late afternoon hours. Another disturbance will approach the coast [...]

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Fog will burn away, severe weather on the way

April 2nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:40 AM
The latest visible satellite image clearly shows that fog has developed throughout much of the forecast area with dense fog advisories issued for much of the region. The dense fog has developed due to a combination of lingering low level moisture from a few showers early this morning and very light winds. The good [...]

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Heavy Snow Is On The Way

March 2nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:22 AM
A large area of moderate to heavy snow is moving towards the forecast area and is already impacting eastern Pennsylvania. Snowfall rates over Maryland, eastern Virginia, and Delaware are being reported as moderate to heavy. The snow is associated with the strong upper disturbance that has been behind this whole storm from the start [...]

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A Discussion On Mesoscale Dynamics And Impacts Along The Coast

March 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

2:54 PM
I’ve been diving into the mesoscale models the past two hours to get a handle on how and where the mesoscale forcing will set up for tonight through Monday afternoon.
The features I wanted to look at is the frontogenesis from the surface to 700 MB, the track of the 850 MB low, and [...]

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A Discussion About The Impacts Of Convective Snow Bands

March 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:20 AM
Considering the rapid development of convective precipitation over the Southeast this morning and the latest forecasted soundings, I want to quickly cover the impacts of what convective snow bands can have on accumulation totals.
First, when looking at a radar image, the best way to find convective banding is to look for a band of [...]

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Thoughts On Afternoon Data And The Storm For Tuesday Through Wednesday Night

January 25th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:26 PM
I don’t think anyone can argue that the model guidance has warmed. There has been little shift in the actual storm track, but the low pressure systems that impact the forecast area appear to have stronger WAA at the mid levels are the very least. There is a lot to consider here, but I [...]

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The Only Consistency In The Models Is Inconsistency

January 22nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:32 PM
I’ve been getting a lot of emails today about the period from Sunday through Thursday. Actually, I’ve been getting a lot of emails over the past 4 days about this period. I want to just send an apology if you didn’t get a response, consider this post your response.
My confidence for the period of [...]

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Pressure Falls Everywhere, But Not A Closed Circulation

January 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:32 AM
This morning there are a lot of pressure falls developing. One interesting pressure fall is over the coastal waters of Massachutes that might indicate a developing low pressure system, but there is not one hint of redevelopment in the wind vectors. Another pressure fall is right over southern New Jersey, with a bit more [...]

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