Tag Archive for 'Southeast' at NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Evening Thoughts

November 13th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

There’s a lot of topics I want to cover tonight so lets dive into it!
First and foremost, the heaviest rainfall from this afternoon’s coastal low is now off the coast and I only expect a few light showers and some drizzle for the rest of the overnight period. There is plenty of deep moisture still [...]

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Volatile Weather Through Saturday Expected

November 13th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

Get ready for some rapidly changing weather conditions through Saturday night as a series of disturbances and a very strong cold front moves through the forecast area.
Today through tonight, a disturbance from the southern branch will race ahead of the main trough in a very moist atmospheric environment. The GFS and the NAM are having [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, atmosphere, atmospheric environment, Belmar, Bridgeport, cold, Connecticut, continuation, delmarva coast, Disturbance, east, eastern Pennsylvania, elevation, england, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, gusts, Hartford, Islip, lifting, lightning, Long Island, lows, Maine, mb temperatures, mid level, Model Guidance, models, moisture, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normal temperatures, north, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, s, saturday morning, scattered showers, Scranton, showers, south, Southeast, Southern New England, southwesterly winds, southwestern pennsylvania, steady rainfall, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, Trough, waa, warm, weather, weather conditions, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Sunshine Today, Rain Through Saturday

November 12th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

High pressure will hold on for one more day before giving way to the significant moisture surge developing over the Mississippi Valley and Southeast. Clouds will slowly increase through the day, initially with high level stratus and some cirrus to eventually mid to low level stratus by this evening. As the high pressure system moves [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, cirrus, cloudy skies, cold, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, divergence, east, england, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, friday evening, friday morning, front, gusts, Hartford, horizontal plains, Islip, Long Island, lows, Maine, mid level, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, moderate rainfall, moderation, moisture, moisture surge, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, northeastern virginia, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, s, saturday afternoon, Scranton, south, Southeast, southeasterly wind, southwesterly winds, subsidence, sunshine, surprise, Sussex, systems, thermal gradient, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, Trough, upper level winds, Virginia, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, windy. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Northern Disturbance Turns Heads

November 3rd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

The water vapor images this morning tell a compelling story about how this week will play out in terms of this coastal low. Turns out the GFS may have been on to something this weekend with bringing the coastal low into the forecast area faster than all the other guidance.
Notice the strong disturbance over [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bport, clouds, cloudy conditions, Coastal Storm, cold, cold front, Connecticut, Disturbance, dominance, east, england, evenings, Fall, few days, flooding, floods, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, front, Georgia, gfs, Great Lakes, guidance, gusts, Hartford, humidity, Islip, lifting, lightning, Long Island, low clouds, lows, Maine, Mid Atlantic, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Northeast, observation, observations, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, pva, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, signs, south, Southeast, Southeast Coast, specifics, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, thursday morning, time period, Trough, warm, water vapor images, weather, wednesday night, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind component, Winter, winter conditions. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Major Storm But Limited Impacts On Forecast Area

November 2nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

There is a lot of interesting data this morning to look at in terms of this developing low pressure system that will form off the northern waters of the Bahamas. The model guidance for the most part has been trending closer to the coast the past several runs. The reason for this is that the [...]

Tags: 00z gfs, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Bahamas, Belmar, Bridgeport, brunt, clouds, coastal locations, cold, Connecticut, Disturbance, east, evening hours, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, front, gfs, Great Lakes, guidance, Hartford, interaction, Islip, Long Island, lows, Mid Atlantic, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, Model Guidance, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, northern waters, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, plains, pna, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, Reading, scattered showers, Scranton, second half, showers, Southeast, Storm, storms, Sussex, swing, swings, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, upper trough, warm, wednesday evening, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Interesting Disturbance In The Southeast

November 1st, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

There’s an interesting disturbance over the Southeast this morning that may play an important part in next weekend’s weather. The disturbance is expected to move towards the Bahamas where a surface low pressure system will take shape and intensify.
Now, the model guidance has some different solutions on how this low pressure system interacts with [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, ao, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Bahamas, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, east, East Coast, ecmwf, ensembles, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, gfs, guidance, Hartford, interaction, Islip, Long Island, low pressure system, lows, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Scranton, Southeast, Storm, storm development, storms, Sussex, systems, Trough, weather, wet weekend, White Plains, Wild Wood, windy. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Potential For Major Coastal Storm Next Weekend Grows

October 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

This evening, I’m looking at a lot of indications that the environment will be conducive for a significant coastal storm for next weekend for much of the northern Mid Atlantic and Northeast.
Most medium/long range models like the ECMWF, Canadian, and UKMET are hinting at a developing disturbance to the north of the Bahamas and [...]

Tags: 2 standard deviations, Albany, Allentown, arctic oscillation, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Bahamas, Belmar, blocking, bombs, Bridgrt, Coastal Storm, coastal waters, cold, Connecticut, Disturbance, east, ecmwf, ensembles, epo, evenings, explosive development, extremes, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, gfs, gfs ensembles, guidance, Hartford, high potential, humidity, interaction, Islip, Long Island, lows, maps, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Northeast, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, polar air, Poughkeepsie, range models, Reading, Scranton, Southeast, Southeast Coast, southeastern canada, Storm, storms, Sussex, tank, tanks, temperature, temperatures, Tropical, tropical air, tropics, Trough, ukmet, warm, weather, White Plains, Wild Wood, Winter, winter outlook. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Potential Storm For Next Weekend

October 30th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

I know I am jumping ahead a bit for next weekend, but I wanted to start addressing the potential situation that may be developing towards November. Model guidance over the past few runs has shown an interesting development to the north of the Bahamas around November 6th through November 8th, as an upper low deepens [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, arctic oscillation, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Bahamas, Belmar, Bport, Connecticut, east, East Coast, ensembles, Fall, Freehold, guidance, Hartford, interaction, Islip, Long Island, lows, Model Guidance, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, north atlantic oscillation, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitation event, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, south strong wind, Southeast, Storm, storms, surprise, Sussex, tank, tanks, Trough, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Colds Fronts, Troughs, And Storms

October 27th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

We are entering one active and very interesting 66 hour period for the forecast area!
A cold front will move through the forecast area today with widely scattered showers. The main impact from this cold front will be the significant drop in temperatures at 850 MB to the surface as this true Polar cold front [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, axis, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, cold, cold front, Connecticut, dusting of snow, east, ecmwf, england, evenings, forecast, forecast area, forecast period, forecaster, Freehold, front, frontal passage, gfs, guidance, gusts, Hartford, Islip, Long Island, lows, Maine, Model Guidance, models, morning temperatures, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, Northeast, northern connecticut, Northwest, optimal position, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, polar air, Poughkeepsi, Poughkeepsie, Rain, rain snow, Reading, Scranton, showers, snow, snow accumulation, snow event, snow showers, south, Southeast, Storm, storms, surface temperatures, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, Trough, tuesday morning, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, windy. Technical Discussions Add a comment

Potential Storm For Monday Night And Tuesday?

October 26th, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

There is a lot of discussion out there about a potential storm on Monday night and Tuesday. For the forecast area, I do not think this low pressure system, which will develop, will bring significant precipitation.
The problem here with the set up is that the orientation of the trough axis is just slightly too far [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, central hudson, coastal plain, coastal waters, cold, cold front, Connecticut, discussion, Disturbance, east, eastern mississippi, england, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, Freehold, front, Gulf Stream, gusts, Hartford, Hudson Valley, Islip, Jets, lifting, Long Island, lows, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northern connecticut, Northwest, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, plains, Polar Jet Stream, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitation event, pva, Rain, Reading, Scranton, season snowfall, showers, snow, snow fall, snow showers, snowfall, Southeast, Southeast Coast, Storm, storms, Sussex, systems, thermal gradient, Trough, tuesday morning, White Plains, Wild Wood, wind conditions. Technical Discussions Add a comment