NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Early spring like conditions continue but rain is on the way

7:04 AM
High pressure is completely in control this morning with clear skies and temperatures on their way into the 50’s for most locations.  After the rough winter weather of the past several weeks, today is going to feel like paradise with warm conditions and light winds.
High pressure will remain in control through the next several [...]

Models going warm, well maybe not

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8:40 AM
The medium range guidance is suggesting a pattern break down after this weekend, but the question is if this is a pattern reload or pattern collapse or even if the warm up is as strong as suggested.  When the models get crazy, it’s time to go back to what really drives the weather.
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A perfect 48 hours of weather

8:53 AM
A week disturbance is moving through New England and the Hudson Valley this morning, however this disturbance will have little impact on the northern Mid Atlantic.  With little in the way of moisture in the atmosphere, no showers are expected with this disturbance, but a wind shift from the southwest to northwest will result [...]

Active storm track through early next week

7:24 AM
The strong low pressure system that developed over eastern Oklahoma late on Monday is now in the Ohio Valley and will continue to press north and east this morning towards western New York.  Heavy rainfall, which started last night, has continued through early this morning.  As expected, the heaviest rainfall was focused over southern [...]

Rain has moved in faster than thought

6:23 AM

Steady, heavy rain has moved into the forecast area much faster than I originally thought last night.  I expect this rain to continue through the day for the entire Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area.  As you can see to the southwest, there is plenty more moisture on the way.
A complete [...]

Boat and beach report for Friday, October 9 2009

5:25 AM
Clouds will continue to increase to overcast cloud cover as a warm front moves through the coastal waters.  Widely scattered showers can be expected through the day with drier conditions towards the southern New Jersey coastal waters.  Tonight, a cold front will move through the coastal waters with scattered showers after midnight, otherwise broken [...]

Boat and beach report for Monday, October 5 2009

5:25 AM
Scattered cloud cover is expected through this evening as an upper low continues to rotate to the north of the coastal waters over New England.  Tonight through Tuesday, scattered clouds are expected with dry conditions.  On Tuesday night, clouds will increase as a warm front approaches the region.  An area of low pressure will [...]

Boat and beach report for Wednesday, September 30 2009

5:25 AM
A strong upper low will continue to rotate to the north of the coastal waters and send weak disturbances through the region today through Friday.  Most of the coastal waters will remain dry with only an isolated shower focused primarily over the northern New Jersey coastal waters and the Long Island Sound.  Otherwise, dry [...]

Boat and beach report for Tuesday, September 29 2009

5:15 AM
A strong upper low over western and central New York will produce a cyclonic wind pattern from the surface to 200 MB over the coastal waters.  As a result, weak impulses will move through the New Jersey and Long Island coastal waters with scattered cloud cover and a risk of an isolated weak shower [...]

Tropical Weather Update for Sunday September 27 2009

4:45 AM
Tropical Depression 8 dissipated yesterday afternoon and is only a weak wave this morning.  Strong shear from the southwest ahead of a deepening trough over the central Atlantic will force the remnants of Tropical Depression 8 to race to the northeast into the central Atlantic.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic remains quiet with no signs [...]