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Medium and long range pattern thoughts

October 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:24 AM
I’ve been studying the pattern and the clues that we are seeing now to get a handle on what to expect for the rest of October and there are some very interesting features that are developing this morning. So let’s dive right into it!
First this morning I went to go check out the developments [...]

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Thoughts, Theories, and The Future of this Pattern

September 14th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

1:30 PM
I want to start this post by saying that what I am about to write is a theory, an unproven theory at that, which has been rattling around in my brian for the past several days.
As we all know, the Tropical Atlantic season has been less than stellar with very few tropical systems impacting [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, anomalies, atlantic basin, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, boundary layers, Bridgeport, celsius, Citi Field, coastal waters, Connecticut, cpc, few days, Freehold, Gulf Coast, Gulf of Mexico, Gulf Stream, hail, Hartford, heat energy, heavy rain, Islip, key point, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, maps, Mets, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Scranton, sst, Sussex, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, tropical systems, unproven theory, upper level winds, uptick, White Plains, Wild Wood, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Is Winter Over? Not By A Long Shot!

February 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:18 AM
I’ve gotten a lot of emails the past 24 hours if this is it? Is this the big storm and then winter is over? Well, let’s look at all the data. I know many people like to focus on the Pacific and only the Pacific, but I like to take a more round about [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, anomalies, Atlantic City, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, boarder, Bridgrt, canada, cold, cold periods, Connecticut, CONUS, Disturbance, dives, dominance, dominants, east, epo, explosion, few days, Freehold, Hartford, heck, interaction, Islip, la nina, Long Island, low, lows, map, moderate state, moderation, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, pa weather, pdo, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, pna, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, s, Scranton, signature, Southeast, sst, sst anomalies, sst anomaly, Storm, storms, stratosphere, suggestion, Sussex, troposphere, Trough, warm, weather, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Closed

The January Outlook

January 1st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:40 PM
December has come and gone along with all the holiday cheer, it’s time to look to see what the rest of January holds for the forecast area. Will the negative NAO be a major factor? Will the Pacific get back into the game or will January be a warm and boring month?
The basic idea [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, amplification, anomalies, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic sst, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, Bridgrt, canada, clipper, clippers, coast, cold, Connecticut, continuation, digs, Disturbance, dominance, epo, extreme cold, extremes, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, game, games, guidance, Hartford, high, higher latitudes, Hudson Valley, ice, interaction, Islip, latitude, Long Island, low, lows, mid, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, North America, north pole, northern asia, Ohio, pacific waters, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, Rain, relaxation, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, sea surface temperatures, signature, slides, snow, snowfall, Southeast, Southwest, sst, state of flux, Storm, storms, stratosphere, surfaces, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Trenton, troposphere, tropospheric temperatures, Trough, troughs, upper atmosphere, valleys, warm, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, winter events. Technical Discussions 1 Comment

Cold And Stormy Pattern To Return For New Year

December 22nd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
There are growing indications that 2009 will come in with a bang, at least in the terms of weather. There are signals that are becoming much more stronger for a cold and stormy pattern to develop in the last few days of December and through much of early January. The first key is that [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, blocking, blow torch, Bridgrt, canada, coast, coastal plain, cold, cold air, Connecticut, consensus, continuation, Disturbance, east, epo, few days, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, greenland, guidance, Hartford, high, higher latitudes, Islip, Jets, latest trends, latitude, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, northern canada, Northwest, northwester, October, pacific sst, pdo, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, Reading, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, signals, south, sst, sst data, Storm, storms, stratosphere, Sussex, warm, warm stretch, weather, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

Thoughts For The Next Few Weeks

December 21st, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

1:10 PM
I can bet there will be some out there screaming that winter is over and January is a warm month after the end of this up coming week. A large ridge is going to build over the eastern third of the nation while an upper low digs into Alaska shutting down the northwesterly flow [...]

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What’s Going On In The Pattern

December 3rd, 2008 by Steven DiMartino

After a lot of thought and about 150 curls at the gym, I wanted to write about what I think will unfold in the pattern for the next two weeks.
I’m sure everyone is freaking out about the latest in the crazy guidance seen on the long range GFS and ECMWF guidance. The big scare [...]

Tags: alaska, Albany, Allentown, anomalies, Atlantic, Atlantic City, axis, Belmar, blocking, Bport, canada, central asia, coast, cold, color blind, Connecticut, continuation, CONUS, curls, Disturbance, east, ecmwf, Energy, eurasia, evenings, explaination, flood, floods, forecast, forecaster, Freehold, front, games, gfs, guidance, gulf of alaska, Hartford, hat tip, horses, ing, intensity, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, map, maps, mid, Model Guidance, models, nao, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, north, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, plains, Poughkeepsie, pumps, quebec, Reading, Ridge, s, scare, Scranton, signals, signs, slides, snow, south, sst, stratosphere, stratospheric temperatures, Sussex, temperature, temperatures, Texas, Trough, warm, waves, west, western asia, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter. Technical Discussions Closed