NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Foggy start this morning with increasing flooding potential this weekend

8:00 AM
The temperatures may be warmer, but the active storm track that the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area experienced in February is returning once again.
The easterly fetch developing at the mid and lower levels of the atmosphere is already influencing the northern Mid Atlantic as Atlantic moisture moves into the coastal plain.  The [...]

Warmer times ahead after glancing blow

7:48 AM
A strong area of low pressure is rapidly developing along the Gulf Coast, however this storm is staying far enough south and east to not have a major impact on the region’s weather.
The “pattern changer” as I like to call it is not over the Gulf Coast however but the West coast as a [...]

Minor snow threat for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning

9:15 PM
A very energetic Sub Tropical disturbance is rapidly developing along the Gulf Coast this evening.  However, a more important disturbance that will determine the forecast is actually along the West coast.
While the storm along the Gulf Coast certainly appears ominous, the progression of the Pacific storm this evening into the coast of Washington and [...]

Minor snow threat for mid week, but warmer conditions are on the way!

6:45 AM
The water vapor this morning shows that one major storm is finally exiting and another is on the way over the southern Plains.
The winter storm over New England is the result of the lingering upper low from late weeks winter storm that interacted with another Sub Tropical disturbance over the Atlantic.  This low pressure [...]

A break from the winter weather assault

11:50 AM
The northern Mid Atlantic is getting a bit of a breather from the active winter weather of the past week.  After two major winter storms approaching blizzard conditions, impacted the region over the past seven days, high pressure is providing generally tranquil conditions.
As we can see from the water vapor satellite picture, another storm [...]

A quiet weekend ahead, however storm threat grows for Monday night

7:42 AM
As high pressure brings dry conditions and clear skies to the northern Mid Atlantic, a moisture loaded storm is brewing over the Southeast.  This time the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas will not have to worry about the developments along the Gulf Coast as the strong low pressure that impacted the region [...]

Complicated and intense winter storm on the way

8:10 AM
I have to admit, it is these types of forecasts that I love.  High risk, high reward.  Kind of like being a gambler in a way as the adrenaline is pumping.  The forecast for this storm is one of the most complicated forecasts I’ve had to make in over 8 years of professional forecasting [...]

More thoughts on this storm

8:13 AM

– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 28°F;Humidity: 54%;Heat Index: 28°F;Wind Chill: 20°F;Pressure: 30.33 in.;

Evening Thoughts- fine tuning my thoughts

9:58 PM
As expected, the models are waffling a bit and have trended north and then south.  The latest 00Z NAM appears to be trending south as well, but the let’s look at what if anything has changed in the set up leading up to this storm.
First and foremost, the Sub Tropical disturbance is very [...]

More thoughts on Saturday’s winter storm

– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 28°F;Humidity: 58%;Heat Index: 28°F;Wind Chill: 22°F;Pressure: 30.28 in.;