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High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

June 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end. So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way. However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area.
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, cards, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, cloud cover, clouds, coast, coastal virginia, coastal waters, confidence, Connecticut, continuation, convection, convective, Delaware, destabilization, Disturbance, doubts, downpours, early afternoon, east, eastern connecticut, eastern Pennsylvania, ecmwf, elevation, elevations, Energy, evenings, exact placement, exiting, Florida, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, high clouds, humidity, interaction, invisible wall, isentropic, Islip, Jets, level jet, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maine, Mets, Mexico, mid, mid level, misses, Model Guidance, models, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Reading, Scranton, Shear, showers, slides, south, southe, Southeast, Southwest, southwestern pennsylvania, suggestion, surfaces, Sussex, systems, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, thursday afternoon, tides, tornado, Tropical, tropics, Trough, troughs, valleys, Virginia, warm, weather, weather conditions, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Drier weather returns to the forecast area

June 16th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:58 AM
The rainy pattern that much of the forecast area has experienced this June is taking a short break, as high pressure positions itself over Maine this morning. The position of the high pressure system will still force a marine air mass in place over the region, which is supporting the low clouds this morning. [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, Citi Field, clouds, cloudy skies, coast, coastal waters, cold, confidence, Connecticut, dense fog, discussion, Disturbance, east, easterly wind, elevation, elevations, england, enhancement, evening hours, evenings, fog, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, humidity, Islip, Jets, level moisture, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maine, Mets, mid, models, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, Northeast, northern, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitation types, precipitations, Rainfall, Reading, respects, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, short break, showers, stationary front, suggestion, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, weather, wednesday morning, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind flow, wind speed, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Evening Update- another disturbance on the way

June 10th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:13 PM
A disturbance along the stationary front is approaching the forecast area this evening with an area of showers and thunderstorms. Given the heavy rain that has fallen, flood warning have been issued for parts of southeastern Pennsylvania this evening.
These showers will continue to progress eastward through the overnight hours and will be aided [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, Citi Field, coastal waters, Connecticut, continuation, Disturbance, evenings, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gfs, Great Lakes, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Islip, jet stream, Jets, level jet, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, metros, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, mid level moisture, models, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, overnight hours, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, philadelphia metro, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, qpf, qpf forecasts, Rain, Reading, Scranton, Severe Thunderstorm, severe weather, showers, southeastern Pennsylvania, southern portions, stationary front, subsidence, suggestion, Sussex, systems, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, thursday afternoon, tides, tomorrow afternoon, tornado, waves, weather, weeke, wetter, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Stationary front to keep dreary conditions through Friday

June 10th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:13 AM
While much of eastern Pennsylvania was impacted by strong to severe thunderstorms yesterday, much of the coastal plain was under the influence of a cool marine air mass, which produced generally overcast skies and showery conditions. The strong to severe thunderstorms over Pennsylvania produce large hail, frequent light, and flash flooding. I do not [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, Bridgeport, canada, central hudson, Citi Field, coast, coastal plain, coastal waters, cold, cold front, Connecticut, continuation, convergence, cool marine, cool side, destabilization, Disturbance, drifts, east, eastern Pennsylvania, evening temperatures, evenings, exiting, extent, Fall, flood, flooding, floods, foggy conditions, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, humid air, humidity, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, map, maps, marine influence, Mets, mid, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northe, Ocean, Ohio, overcast, overcast skies, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, plains, plymouth state, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, severe thunderstorms, showers, slides, south, Southeast, southern pennsylvania, specifics, state weather, stationary front, suggestion, Summer, surface wind vectors, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, waves, weather, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Tropical update for Friday, June 5 2009

June 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:32 AM
While strong shear continues to dominate much of the Tropical Atlantic, model guidance does hint for the potential for tropical development over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or western Caribbean Sea by next week.
The water vapor image this morning shows a cold front is driving through the eastern Gulf of Mexico, producing strong [...]

Tags: amounts, Atlantic, boundaries, Caribbean, coast, cold, cold front, confidence, continuation, Disturbance, dominance, dominants, east, few days, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, front, guidance, Gulf Coast, Gulf of Mexico, high, low, lows, Mexico, Model Guidance, models, north, northe, Northeast, Shear, southwesterly flow, suggestion, systems, Tropical, tropical development, Tropical Disturbance, tropical system, tropical update, tropics, Trough, troughs, updates, upper trough, watches, water vapor image, weeke, westerlies, western caribbean sea, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

Heavy rain today, beautiful conditions for the weekend

June 5th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:10 AM
Sometimes in life there are important trade offs that we must make. In terms of weather conditions, the forecast area will go through a very wet, raw Friday to get to two days of exceptional weather conditions this weekend.
This morning, an area of low pressure developing over central North Carolina. As the upper [...]

Tags: advection, air, Albany, Allentown, ample moisture, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian marines, circulation, Citi Field, coast, coastal waters, cold, colors, combinations, Connecticut, Disturbance, divergence, dominance, dominants, england, enhancement, evenings, Fall, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, intensity, Islip, jet stream, Jets, level jet, lifting, light rain, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, long wave, low, lows, Maine, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, Mid West, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, moisture, negative tilt, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, northeasterly winds, northern, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, pva, quebec, Rain, Reading, rebound, remnants, Ridge, risk, Rockies, Scranton, short wave, showers, signals, south, Southeast, suggestion, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tilt, tornado, trade offs, Trough, troughs, upper level winds, valleys, warm, wave trough, waves, weather, weather conditions, weeke, west, western ontario, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Winter, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Periods of heavy rain through Friday

June 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

1:59 PM
This afternoon, the disturbance over the southern Mississippi Valley is pushing towards the Tennessee Valley. As a result, a surface low pressure system is quickly organizing over the Southeast. As you can see with the radar, precipitation is quickly developing over southern Pennsylvania through the Ohio Valley while there is clearly a low level [...]

Tags: advection, Alabama, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, Bridgeport, circulation, Citi Field, coast, coastal waters, combinations, Connecticut, Disturbance, downpours, east, enhancement, evening hours, evenings, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday afternoon, friday evening, friday morning, front, guidance, hail, Hartford, heaviest rainfall, heavy rain, intensity, Islip, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, metros, Mets, mid, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, Model Guidance, models, moisture, moisture advection, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, northern, northwestern suburbs, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, philadelphia metro, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, radar, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, satellite, satellite image, Scranton, showers, south, Southeast, southern mississippi, southern pennsylvania, stationary front, suburbs of philadelphia, suggestion, surfaces, Sussex, systems, Tennessee, Tennessee Valley, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, upper level disturbance, valleys, water vapor satellite, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Activities Today

April 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

8:43 AM
Hello everybody!
I’m actually on vacation from the “other” job through this week.
Today, as many of you know, is the start of major league baseball. I am a die hard (especially the past two seasons) Mets fan and will be going to the Mets Blog Get Together at the Public House in New York City. [...]

Tags: baseball, blog, excuse, iphone, job, Mets, suggestion, twitter, updates, weather, wills, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Another healthy shot of heavy rain for the end of the week

April 6th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:25 AM
The pattern for early April has brought a good dose of rainfall to the forecast area and the pattern looks to continue through next weekend as well.
The lasting influences of the storm for today will continue to support a waning northwesterly flow over the forecast area on Thursday with generally clear skies and cool [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, clouds, Connecticut, continuation, enhancement, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, guidance, Hartford, high, Islip, Long Island, low, lows, mid, Mississippi, models, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, north, northe, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, qpf, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, Scranton, showers, Southeast, Storm, storms, suggestion, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

April showers a risk through the week

April 4th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:00 AM
The low pressure system that will bring heavy rain to the forecast area on Monday will have a consistent influence on the forecast area for much of next week. The upper low associated with the storm will park itself over Quebec through Wednesday before lifting towards the north Atlantic. The cyclonic flow around this [...]

Tags: Albany, Allentown, amounts, april showers, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, Belmar, Bridgeport, cloudy skies, Connecticut, cyclonic flow, Disturbance, drought, drought situation, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, friday morning, guidance, Gulf of Mexico, Hartford, heavy rain, intensity, Islip, lifting, Long Island, low, low pressure system, lows, Mexico, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, Model Guidance, models, moisture, New Jersey, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, observation, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, quebec, Rain, Rainfall, Rainfall Amounts, Reading, risk, s, Scranton, showers, Southeast, southern mississippi, Storm, storms, suggestion, Sussex, systems, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, thursday night, valleys, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills. Technical Discussions Closed