NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Warmer times ahead after glancing blow

7:48 AM
A strong area of low pressure is rapidly developing along the Gulf Coast, however this storm is staying far enough south and east to not have a major impact on the region’s weather.
The “pattern changer” as I like to call it is not over the Gulf Coast however but the West coast as a [...]

Snow showers hang around for another day

10:42 AM
The upper low from the winter storm a few days ago simply will not quit.  I’m about to call this storm, Rocky Balboa as every time you think it is finished, the storm gets back up for another round.
Luckily the next round of this storm will be focused well to the north and east [...]

Snow showers continue as storm slowly exits

10:27 AM
The influences from the winter storm of the past two days simply will not quit.  A strong upper low that caused the initial surface low to stall over New York City and then drift through Long Island continues to sit right over the central Hudson Valley.  Strong mid level disturbances are rotating around this [...]

Snowfall returns for interior locations with a mix along the coast

6:30 AM
For the first time this winter, the best snowfall will not be over southern and central New Jersey, but will be focused much further north over the interior!
A strong upper level low moving towards the Tennessee Valley this morning will race towards the New Jersey coast tonight with a rapidly developing surface low pressure [...]

Rain and minor ice threat on tap today

8:39 AM

An intensifying low pressure system is moving through the Tennessee Valley this morning with heavy rain approaching southern New Jersey.  The heavy rain is expected to spread throughout the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area through this morning and become heavy this afternoon.
The hold of cold air is starting to give over most [...]

Tracking the MJO- influence on the long range forecast

9:40 AM
The MJO is on the move and bless the models, they are trying to handle that tricky feature as best as it can.  Let’s take a look at where the MJO is today and where I think it is going.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 28°F;Humidity: 58%;Heat Index: 28°F;Wind Chill: 16°F;Pressure: 29.75 in.;

ICY Christmas night expected over interior, best snow pattern in years on the way

7:45 AM
I have a lot of information to go over this morning so get your coffee or tea and get ready for a lengthy read.
This morning, the water vapor satellite picture shows a developing and energetic Sub Tropical Disturbance about to interact with a strong Polar disturbance racing south along the eastern Rockies.  Eventually these [...]

Evening Thoughts: The approaching snow event

8:20 PM
Tonight I am going to focus on the next 36 hours as a moisture loaded low pressure system approaches the northern Mid Atlantic, which will be under the influence of a cold Polar air mass.  The forecast of this storm is no doubt difficult to nail down as there are two significant competing features [...]

Evening Thoughts- (Part 1) Saturday’s snow potential

9:11 PM
Over the past several days, there has been some excitement throughout the weather world (at least in the Mid Atlantic) for a potential snow event Saturday evening through early Sunday morning.
My thoughts the past few days focused on the boundary layer temperatures through the time which the majority of the precipitation with this low [...]

Isolated showers and thunderstorms developing

2:16 PM
A weak disturbance behind the exiting cold front is sparking a few isolated showers and thunderstorms over the forecast area. As temperatures continue to warm this afternoon.  The majority of the convective showers can be found over Connecticut and the central Hudson Valley this afternoon.  However, a weak thunderstorm quickly developed over eastern Pennsylvania [...]