Surfaces | NY NJ PA Weather Forecasts

Tropical Weather Update for Tuesday, June 23 2009

June 23rd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:55 AM
Minor development of a disturbance has eyes drawn to the Gulf of Mexico this morning. While much of the Atlantic remains dominated by strong west and southwesterly shear due to a deep trough over the western Atlantic, a minor disturbance is showing some signs of organization in the western Gulf of Mexico.
The disturbance [...]

Tags: air, Atlantic, bay, bay of campeche, bays, Caribbean, coast, continuation, deep trough, Disturbance, dry air mass, Gulf of Mexico, high, Mexico, observation, observations, Shear, surfaces, Tropical, tropical development, tropical weather update, tropics, Trough, troughs, updates, weather, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

Tropical Weather Update for Monday, June 22 2009

June 22nd, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

6:51 AM
No tropical development has been observed this morning and none is likely for at least the next 48 hours. Strong shear associated with a deep trough over the central Caribbean and over the western Atlantic is inhibiting any form of development from the Caribbean to the African coast and will likely continue to do [...]

Tags: air, Atlantic, bay, bay of campeche, bays, Caribbean, coast, continuation, deep trough, Disturbance, dry air mass, Gulf of Mexico, high, Mexico, observation, observations, Shear, surfaces, Tropical, tropical development, tropical weather update, tropics, Trough, troughs, updates, weather, wills. Technical Discussions Closed

What has caused the heavy rainfall this month?

June 21st, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

9:52 AM
June has seen some very impressive rainfall amounts with many locations well over an inch above normal. Even some locations double the amount of normal rainfall. While a continuous onslaught of showers and thunderstorms have impacted much of the Mid Atlantic, and specifically the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan areas, other locations have [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, Allentown PA, amounts, anomalies, anomaly, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic city nj, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, blocking, Bridgeport, bridgeport ct, canada, Citi Field, coast, coastal waters, cold, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, continuous onslaught, convection, convective, Disturbance, east, enhancement, Examiner, explaination, explanations, extremes, forecast, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, freehold nj, front, greenland, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, hightstown nj, interaction, Islip, islip ny, Jets, jfk, latitude, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, magnitude, map, maps, Mets, Mexico, mid, millville nj, Mississippi, Mississippi Valley, moisture, nao, new brunswick nj, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, newark nj, normal, normals, north, northe, Northeast, norwich ct, Ocean, Ohio, orientation, pa 1, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, philadelphia pa, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitation anomalies, precipitation events, precipitations, radar, Rainfall, Rainfall Amounts, Reading, Ridge, Scranton, severe weather, showers, south, southe, specifics, stratosphere, Summer, surfaces, Sussex, sussex nj, synoptic, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, tornado outbreaks, tornadoes, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, weather, weeke, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Heavy rain and severe weather a significant threat

June 20th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:30 AM
The forecast for today through tonight is best described as significantly complicated and potentially very active. The main theme is basically the progression of the warm front currently over southwesterly Pennsylvania through eastern Virginia. I want to start with the fact that the surface low pressure system is further north and weaker than forecasted [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, amounts, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, baseball, Belmar, boundaries, Bridgeport, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, city metro, coast, coastal waters, cold, cold front, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, cool air, Delaware, discussion, Disturbance, downpours, east, eastern virginia, elevation, elevations, evenings, exiting, flood, flooding, floods, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, game, games, Great Lakes, guidance, gusts, hail, Hartford, heavy downpour, heavy rain, high, isentropic, Islip, jet stream, Jets, level jet, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, Maine, map, maps, metros, Mets, mid, Mid Atlantic, Model Guidance, models, moist air, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, northern, northern suburbs, Northwest, northwester, Ohio, overcast, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, repositions, Scranton, Shear, showers, south, southe, Southeast, suburbs of philadelphia, Summer, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, tornadoes, Trough, troughs, updates, valleys, Virginia, warm, weather, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

A break in the wet weather today, but more rain on the way

June 19th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:15 AM
As low pressure exits the forecast area this morning, a brief break in the clouds and rainfall can be expected through the day. In case anyone forgot, that big bright ball in the sky is called the sun, and no we are not in Seatlle. Weak high pressure over the eastern Great Lakes will [...]

Tags: air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, break in the clouds, Bridgeport, case winds, Citi Field, clear skies, clouds, cloudy skies, coast, coastal waters, combinations, Connecticut, continuation, convection, convective, Delaware, doubts, east, evenings, exiting, forecast, forecast area, forecast tomorrow, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, Great Lakes, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Islip, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, MCS, mesoscale, mesoscale convective system, Mets, mid, misses, Mississippi, Model Guidance, models, mountains, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, Northwest, northwester, Ohio, oranges, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Rainfall, rainy day, Reading, Ridge, saturday evening, scattered showers, Scranton, showers, slides, south, southe, Storm, storms, Summer, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tomorrow morning, tornado, transition, transitioning, transitions, Trough, troughs, upper level winds, valleys, water vapor, weather, weeke, west, westerlies, westerly wind, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Another rainy day for the region

June 18th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:39 AM
A clash of air masses is unfolding right over the forecast area as the marine air mass that has been over the forecast area the past several days slowly is eroded from the region and off the coast. The latest surface map best describes the current situation. High pressure remains off the New England [...]

Tags: air, air masses, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, Belmar, boarder, Bridgeport, buffalo ny, central hudson, central maryland, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, coast, coastal waters, confluence, Connecticut, convergence, Delaware, eastern Pennsylvania, england, evening hours, evenings, exiting, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, guidance, hail, Hartford, hazy conditions, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, Islip, isolated thunderstorms, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, lows, map, maps, Maryland, metros, Mets, mid, models, new england coast, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, Northeast, northern, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, philadelphia metro, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, Rain, Reading, rebound, risk, scattered showers, Scranton, severe thunderstorms, showers, south, southe, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, unstable air mass, upper level trough, valleys, warm, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

High pressure gives way as rain is on the way

June 17th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:27 AM
The pleasant weather conditions from yesterday are about to come to an end. So is my confidence in model guidance, by the way. However, before I get to that, let’s take a look at the precipitation that is charging towards the forecast area.
High pressure currently centered over eastern Connecticut and Rhode Island, will continue [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, cards, central Pennsylvania, Citi Field, cloud cover, clouds, coast, coastal virginia, coastal waters, confidence, Connecticut, continuation, convection, convective, Delaware, destabilization, Disturbance, doubts, downpours, early afternoon, east, eastern connecticut, eastern Pennsylvania, ecmwf, elevation, elevations, Energy, evenings, exact placement, exiting, Florida, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, gfs, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, high clouds, humidity, interaction, invisible wall, isentropic, Islip, Jets, level jet, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maine, Mets, Mexico, mid, mid level, misses, Model Guidance, models, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, Northeast, Ohio, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, Rain, Reading, Scranton, Shear, showers, slides, south, southe, Southeast, Southwest, southwestern pennsylvania, suggestion, surfaces, Sussex, systems, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, thursday afternoon, tides, tornado, Tropical, tropics, Trough, troughs, valleys, Virginia, warm, weather, weather conditions, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Drier weather returns to the forecast area

June 16th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:58 AM
The rainy pattern that much of the forecast area has experienced this June is taking a short break, as high pressure positions itself over Maine this morning. The position of the high pressure system will still force a marine air mass in place over the region, which is supporting the low clouds this morning. [...]

Tags: air, air mass, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, axis, Belmar, Bridgeport, canadian maritimes, Citi Field, clouds, cloudy skies, coast, coastal waters, cold, confidence, Connecticut, dense fog, discussion, Disturbance, east, easterly wind, elevation, elevations, england, enhancement, evening hours, evenings, fog, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, Great Lakes, guidance, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, humidity, Islip, Jets, level moisture, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Maine, Mets, mid, models, moisture, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, north, northe, Northeast, northern, Pennsylvania, periods, Philadelphia, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitation types, precipitations, Rainfall, Reading, respects, Ridge, Rockies, Scranton, short break, showers, stationary front, suggestion, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, valleys, warm, weather, wednesday morning, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, wind flow, wind speed, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

Tropical Weather Update for Tuesday, June 16 2009

June 16th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:32 AM
This morning over the Tropical Atlantic, a strong upper low northeast of the Leeward Islands is producing strong southwesterly shear from the eastern Caribbean through the central tropical Atlantic. This shear is and will continue to inhibit any type of development for the next 48 hours.
However, wind shear has weakened considerably over the [...]

Tags: Atlantic, Caribbean, coast, continuation, convection, convective, Disturbance, Gulf of Mexico, high, Leeward Islands, low, lows, Mexico, Northeast, Shear, showers, southwesterly shear, specifics, surfaces, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, Tropical, tropical weather update, tropics, updates, weather, western caribbean, wills, wind shear, Yucatan, Yucatan Peninsula. Technical Discussions Closed

Threat for showers continues through the week

June 15th, 2009 by Steven DiMartino

7:18 AM
Another disturbance is dropping south through the Hudson Valley, Connecticut, and Long Island Sound this morning with a round of heavy rain this morning. This disturbance will continue to drop south and east and will exit the forecast area over the next 2 to 3 hours, impacting much of Connecticut and Long Island rush hour [...]

Tags: afternoon hours, air, Albany, Allentown, area, Atlantic, Atlantic City, atlantic ocean, atmosphere, Belmar, Bridgeport, Citi Field, clouds, cloudy skies, coast, coastal plain, coastal waters, cold, Connecticut, continuation, deep trough, Delaware, delaware river valley, Disturbance, downpours, east, easterly wind, england, evenings, evolution, exiting, fog, forecast, forecast area, forecaster, forecasters, Freehold, front, hail, Hartford, heavy rain, high, Hudson Valley, instability, Islip, Jets, levels of the atmosphere, lifting, lightning, Long Island, Long Island Sound, low, low clouds, lows, Mets, mid, mid level, morning rush hour, New Jersey, New Jersey coast, New York, New York City, Newark, normal, normals, Northeast, northern, overcast, overcast skies, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Phillies, plains, Poughkeepsie, precipitation, precipitations, prospects, Rain, Rainfall, Reading, reloading, Ridge, Rush Hour Traffic, scattered showers, Scranton, showers, similarity, sound, soundings, south, southe, Southeast, sun, surfaces, Sussex, systems, temperature, temperatures, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, tornado, Trough, troughs, tuesday afternoon, tuesday morning, valleys, visibility, warm, water vapor, weeke, west, White Plains, Wild Wood, wills, Yankee Stadium, Yankees. Technical Discussions Closed

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