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Tag Archive for 'temperatures'

A well deserved break after a brutal end to winter

7:15 AM
After a February and early March that produced historic heavy snowfall, heavy rain, flash flooding, wind damage, and all sorts of other issues; the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas finally are going to get a nice and well deserved break.
High pressure this morning is producing clear skies with temperatures in the mid [...]

Low pressure on the way out, but one more round of rain expected

4:30 PM
There are signs that the low pressure system that has brought over 3 inches of rain or more throughout the New York City and Philadelphia metropolitan area is finally starting to exit.
Pressure rises are being observed throughout the northern Mid Atlantic ranging from 1 to 3 MB per hour and the center of the [...]

Light rain and snow tonight leads to minor accumulations

6:36 PM
I have been hinting for some time that the precipitation shield for tonight’s storm was going to be more expansive than what was being forecasted.  However, I am not very impressed with the accumulation potential for this storm.  The first and foremost is the warm boundary layer temperatures.
Besides the fact that the surface freezing [...]

Minor snow threat for Tuesday night into Wednesday morning

9:15 PM
A very energetic Sub Tropical disturbance is rapidly developing along the Gulf Coast this evening.  However, a more important disturbance that will determine the forecast is actually along the West coast.
While the storm along the Gulf Coast certainly appears ominous, the progression of the Pacific storm this evening into the coast of Washington and [...]

Next storm focus further north

12:00 PM
The water vapor satellite picture shows the next upper level low that will bring snow to much of the northern Mid Atlantic.  However, this time, the focus of the heaviest snowfall will be focused more towards the northwestern interior rather than the coastal plain.
Today through tomorrow afternoon, high pressure will move through the region. [...]

Area of rain and snow approaching from the west

9:00 AM
An area of rain and snow showers is expanding and intensifying over south-central Pennsylvania this morning.  This area of precipitation is developing due to enhanced lifting from the upper low over Virginia.  As the upper low moves east along with the rapidly intensifying coastal low off the Virginia coast, this area of precipitation will [...]

Philadelphia misses out on steady precipitation

5:35 AM
The coastal low this morning has moved further south than forecasted and as a result the brunt of the light precipitation expected to impact the Philadelphia metropolitan area and southern New Jersey will remain off the coast.  While temperatures are cold enough to support a frozen mix of precipitation, the steady precipitation has tracked [...]

Moderation for now, but signs of cold pattern return grow stronger

Premium Post
9:15 AM
As discussed yesterday, the rapid cooling of the Stratosphere the past few weeks lead to the collapse of the high latitude blocking that supported the strongly negative Arctic Oscillation and the negative North Atlantic Oscillation.  Over the next ten days, the Sub Tropical jet stream will be the dominant influence on the pattern, [...]

Moderation ensues as a return to normal begins

7:23 AM
This morning we can see the makings of what will be a powerful storm for this weekend as a strong Sub Tropical Disturbance now enters the western Gulf Coast.  This storm will intensify and drive towards the Mid Atlantic coastal waters over the next few days.  However, as the Sub Tropical jet stream becomes [...]

Tricky forecast for this week, timing is everything

Premium Content
7:45 AM
This week the warning that timing is everything could not be truer.  The movement of individual disturbances that are still over the Pacific will be key in determining exactly what type of storm is possible for next weekend.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 17°F;Humidity: 67%;Heat Index: 17°F;Wind Chill: 7°F;Pressure: 30.18 in.;



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