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Archive for thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving!

I want to wish everyone today a HAPPY THANKSGIVING!

This is the time of year we should give thanks for the things we have in our lives, and I’m not talking about that new video game with the kung fu grip.  This is the time to be thankful for friends Read More→

December Thoughts- the cold is on the way

9:45 AM

Over the past several weeks I have been strongly hinting at a cold start to December.  The various indicators I’ve been looking at to make these statements include the Stratospheric anomalies of late, the development of the MJO state, and the growth of snow cover over much of Read More→

A quiet week ahead

8:58 AM

Sorry for the late update.  I don’t know why, but Sunday’s always seem to be the day where I sleep the most.  I promise that won’t be an issue for winter storms though.  Those storms are like caffeine for me.

ECW1.JPGThe water vapor this morning shows us that Read More→

Quiet Weather Conditions For The Holiday Weekend

First, I want to wish everyone a happy Thanksgiving!  Enjoy that turkey, pies, and the NFL football.  Well, okay the football games won’t be that great, but let’s be thankful that we can watch them!  That’s the spirit, right!

The forecast area through this period will continue to be under Read More→

Dry And Chilly Thanksgiving, End Of The Week

The weather pattern will quiet down for the next three days, which will give the forecast area comfortable weather conditions for the Thanksgiving holiday.  

An upper low will continue to sit over the eastern Great Lakes and northern New York through the period, sending weak disturbances through the forecast Read More→

The Roller Coaster Begins

The step down to some really cold conditions will begin after Thanksgiving.  I’m using a blend once again of the GFS and ECMWF for the period of Friday through Monday.  

A deep trough will dominate the pattern through this period and for some time afterward over much of the Read More→

Wet Early Start The Beginning Of A Very Active Pattern

Take heart snow lovers everywhere, this rainfall this morning is yet another step to the snowy December that I think will unfold!

The cold front is in the process of moving through the forecast area right now (9:15 AM), and will continue to progress to the northeast.  The heavy rainfall Read More→

Thanksgiving Weekend Thankfully Not Too Chilly

The pattern will be going into a brief state of reloading and relaxation for the last weekend of November, Thanksgiving weekend, and for the first five days of December.  As a result, the storm track I’m expecting will run from the Mississippi Valley to over the coastal plain and into Read More→

Below Normal Temperatures and Increasing Storm Potential

The pattern will be amplifying through out the northern Hemisphere in this period and beyond.  The pattern that I’ve been envisioning for this winter will start to really take hold as high latitude blocking develops and that includes the negative NAO signature.  

However, before we get to that exciting Read More→

Cold Turkey, But Not As Cold As Today

The pattern is going into a state of significant amplification throughout much of North America and Northern Hemisphere.  I want to state right off the bat that I agree with HPC that the ECMWF solution from 00Z is a strong outlier so I threw the model out.  Interestingly, the ECMWF Read More→