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Tag Archive for 'thermal gradient'

Significant long duration winter storm expected starting tonight

8:40 AM
A major winter storm is starting to develop over the Gulf Coast that will have a lasting impact on the entire northern Mid Atlantic tonight through Friday evening.
This morning, the water vapor satellite picture shows two disturbances beginning to interact over the Tennessee Valley.  By this afternoon, these disturbances will form a powerful upper [...]

Significant winter storm expected Wednesday night through Friday

10:55 PM
There are times when as a forecaster, I look at a water vapor satellite and everything just comes together for me in terms of how I think this storm will evolve.  Usually it is a matter of just sitting back and watching the water vapor loop again and again, just observing the way the [...]

Convective snowfall to play a key role on Wednesday

9:37 AM
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The forecasted soundings for Wednesday morning are rather interesting and will likely have a key impact on snowfall totals throughout the region.
– Weather When Posted –Temperature: 23°F;Humidity: 57%;Heat Index: 23°F;Wind Chill: 10°F;Pressure: 29.99 in.;

Keeping an eye on the trends

8:57 AM
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The one feature this morning, that I discussed briefly in the public post this morning can be seen very clearly on the IR and water vapor images.
Note the cooling cloud tops over the Ohio Valley that is racing towards the northern Mid Atlantic.  This area of cooling is the direct result of [...]

Additional thoughts on the snow threat and progression of the patternTo

9:29 AM
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A lot of action is starting to unfold for the northern Mid Atlantic.  As we all know, there is a snow threat for this weekend that has the potential to produce a significant snowfall for much of the northern Mid Atlantic.  Then there is the threat influence of the MJO in phase 7 [...]

Cold front brings cold air back

7:08 AM
A cold front is approaching the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan area this morning with snow showers for most locations as the front progresses to the east.  This cold front will move through the northern Mid Atlantic today with scattered rain and snow showers.  Temperatures this afternoon will peak in the lower 40’s [...]

Afternoon thoughts- the snow approaches

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2:40 PM
The strong Arctic disturbance is on the move this afternoon and is holding together rather well.  The latest radar images have light to moderate snow over much of the Ohio Valley this afternoon which is slowly progressing eastward towards western Pennsylvania.
My overall thoughts on this storm from the past few days have not [...]

Mesoscale breakdown for Friday morning

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9:11 AM
A light snow event is going to unfold on Friday morning, but the details remain uncertain as much depends on the evolution of mesoscale parameters.  So this morning, I’m going to try to clear some of the fog and mist of this time period and discuss the potential that exits and why it [...]

Flurries expected today, more organized snow on Friday

7:40 AM
A weak disturbance is moving through the Philadelphia and New York City metropolitan areas this morning with a few scattered snow flurries.  No accumulation is expected, however the snow showers will likely put a nice touch to the cold conditions in place right now.  Let’s be honest, what’s the point of it being cold [...]

Slight warmer today, but still cold

7:26 AM
Much like yesterday, this morning is starting out cold with temperatures through out the New York and Philadelphia metropolitan areas in the teens and twenties.  Thankfully, this morning the pressure gradient is much weaker with sustained winds around 5 to 15 mph rather than around 20 mph, so temperatures that are around 25 feel [...]



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